Study On The Evaluation And Growth Mechanism Of Chinese Forestry Industrial System

This dissertation analyzed the development status quo of China’s forestry industrial system in terms of industrial resources, industrial scale, industrial layout and international trade. Then it built an evaluation index system on the basis of previous studies. It generalized the factors that reflect the industrial development into five aspects, namely, industrial resource base, the status of industrial development, industrial competitiveness, industrial efficiency and industrial development environment. Each aspect comprised second-level and third-level indicators. Then the multi-layer principal component analysis was used to analyze the development status of China’s forestry industrial system. The evaluation results showed that China’s forestry industry had rapidly developed in the past years; industry’s overall strength had obvious grown, the level of industrial development gradually increased. But compared with the developed forestry industrial system, the development state of the elements still needed to be improved. In order to explore the motivity of the high-speed development and the growth mechanism, it established a simultaneous equations model to verify the assumptions it has made. The empirical results showed that a large number of cheap labor inputs and continued capital investment growth are the fundamental source of industry growth, while the technology had little contribution. At the same time, industrial development over-relied on market demand, and easily affected by the economic environment, which is extremely detrimental to the long-term development of the industry. So, to realize the sustainable development, the developed forestry industrial system should be built. Its path is through the upgrading of the industrial structure, the optimization of industrial organization and the enhancement of industry support capabilities, the forestry industry could realized the transformation of the economic growth mode and the improvement of the industrial competitiveness, and ultimately achieved the transit from the factor-driven and investment-driven stage to innovation-driven stage. After that, through the analysis of the constituent elements of the industrial system, some problems had been found:inadequate adjustments of the industrial structure, low market concentration degree, unreasonable business structure and weak scientific and technological innovation capacity, etc. Therefore, to achieve developed forestry industry system, we should continue to accelerate the upgrading of industrial structure, optimize the industrial organization and improve the industry support abilities.Finally, some recommendations had been given:through promoting the development of the secondary and tertiary industries, nurturing the leading industries and emerging industries to achieve the upgrading of industrial structure; through upgrading the corporate structure, developing industrial clusters and conducting large-scale operation to achieve the optimization of industrial organization; through improving the scientific and technological input mechanism, strengthening the integration of production, education and research and technology intermediary service to achieve the improvement of technology innovation ability.