China's Economic Growth And Energy Consumption Of The Inherent Relationship Between Research,

Energy is an important material resource of human existence, economic development, social progress and modern civilization. It is an important strategic material relating to the national economy and national defense safety. It has the prominent position in modernization. It is the key period in China's industrialization. It is also the period that economic structure, city level, and the residents consume structure will have obvious varieties before the middle period of this century. Economy and society will have many revolutionary varieties. The energy realm will also face many challenges. The structure of the energy consumption and production and will also change correspondingly. The scientific forecast of energy demand and supply of our country has the important meaning for establishing the right energy development program, promoting the rapid development of national economy and the realization of the strategic target of our country, and for building an economic and harmonic society.Based on the energy economics theory and foundation of the energy demand and supply, this paper forecasts the amount of the demand and supply, analyses the energy indentation and substitution, puts forward China's "11th Five-Year Plan" to achieve the goal of lowering energy consumption and the way to China's future energy development strategy applying the quantitative method.First, the paper poses a systematic analysis of the current status of China's energy demand, energy efficiency and major international energy compared from China's total energy consumption and the structure of energy consumption.Secondly, the paper discusses relation on energy and economic growth, having an empirical analysis and discussion of the provinces and the overall regional economic growth and energy consumption difference between long-and short-term fluctuations in the balance of relations, using dynamic econometric ways and ECM model.Third, based on the neo-classical growth theory, the paper put forward and introduced the energy economics of space econometric model with variable factors, the establishment of China's space model years 1999-2006 cross-section of the province's economic growth data and Energy consumption for the empirical test, and analysis of the causes.Fourth, the paper analysis factors on energy consumption intensity from the region's energy consumption intensity and the level of economic development, industrialization, the impact of the industrial structure.Finally, the text puts forward the "11th Five-Year Plan" of energy saving and practical way to achieve our future energy development in response.This paper has obtained the following conclusions:(1) Through the establishment of threshold co-integration model, we found that China's economic growth and energy consumption in the 1953-2006 intervals, shows a non-linear forms of co-integration, not same most of the literature of the scholars. The linear relationship between the co-integration, error correction of their adjustment is not in a row, but at this stage, the value of error correction, the adjustment process is different.(2) Chinese regional economic growth and energy consumption has a significant positive correlation in the spatial distribution. The idea of starting research degrees, to ignore the relevance of the dimension of space and heterogeneity, there is a serious shortage. The research must be described in the linear regression model based on the introduction of variable space.(3) China's energy consumption shows the strength of regional differences as a result of the economic structure, energy consumption performance of different intensity difference. Changes in the structure of the resulting increase in the total energy intensity.