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Gaming Of Energy Configuration Optimization Mechanism And Input-Output Analysis

Posted on:2012-02-01Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y Q ZhangFull Text:PDF
GTID:1119330338451371Subject:Quantitative Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Currently, China's energy demand continues to increase, the energy supply faces great pressure, the bottleneck restriction of energy becomes one outstanding problem of China's economic and social development. On the one hand energy supply insufficiently, on the other hand high energy-consuming industries exist, which consume limited energy greatly and restrict the development of our national economy.China's energy consumption is mainly fossil fuels, how to optimize configuration fossil fuels and take a sustainable-development energy road, according with China's national conditions and the international advanced level, which becomes the current research hotspot problem.From the aspect of optimizing energy configuration, paper puts forward corresponding policy recommendation on energy consumption of total amount control, and makes corresponding argument, which could largely promote our country's energy system changing from extensive, low efficiency, high emissions and owe safe energy system to economic, highly efficient and clean, multi-channel and safe modern energy system.From the aspect of energy optimal allocation and total amount control energy consumption, paper mainly research on the following several aspects.(1)explicitly pointing out the goal mode, constraint condition and solving process of energy optimization allocation system and the corresponding institutional environment.(2) Comparing three different energy optimization allocation system of the laissez-faire, plan mechanism and the market mechanism based on macro regulation, paper draws a conclusion that fossil resources market allocation mechanism based on macro regulation can realize the maximum output of total GDP and conforms to the social development planning.(3) Paper puts forward energy total cost pricing to rationalize distorted energy price mechanism, and gives the energy total cost pricing model. For energy has the characteristic of quasi-public goods, by using the game theory model, paper demonstrates energy ladder pricing can optimize the industrial structure, make limited energy priority assigned to the most economic efficient industry, realizing economic sustainable development.(4) Paper puts forward a point of view that we can use administrative measures to optimize energy configuration, which include energy consumption quotas, quotas. Paper also concretely analyzes the formulation basis of energy consumption quota, quotas, and how to allocate energy quotas and implementation.The basic research ideas:literature review→energy configuration system goals, constraint condition and calculation procedure→game analysis of three kind of energy allocating mechanism(laissez-faire, plan mechanism and market mechanism based on macro regulation)→energy total cost pricing and ladder pricing→administrative measures of energy optimizing configuration, such as energy tax, energy consumption quota and quotas→empirical analysis→conclusion.Paper mainly adopts such methods as game theory, input and output analysis, cluster analysis. Game theory is mainly used for the option argumentation of three kinds of energy allocating mechanism, the advantage demonstration of energy ladder price.From influence coefficient and induction coefficient angle, input-output and cluster analysis mainly analyze the effect of energy optimizing configuration system promoting industrial structure adjustment. Paper calculates induction coefficient, influence coefficient and industries'energy consumption of million-Yuan GDP.Paper further clustering analyzes energy consumption and induction coefficient, energy consumption and influence coefficient.From the Angle of industrial structure adjustment, based on three dimensions of agriculture, the second industry and the third industry, paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures to realize economic sustainable development.Paper point of research:Paper point of research is how to comprehensively use market means and administrative measures to realize the energy configuration optimization. In the energy total amount control target, the emphasis is how to use the energy total cost and ladder pricing model, energy quotas and fixed quotas to optimize the industrial structure, assign limited energy priority to the most economic efficient industry and realize economic sustainable development.Research results and conclusions:(1) Paper puts forward the point of view that market mechanism under the government's macro-regulation is the fossil energy optimal configuration method, demonstrate it using game theory.(2) Energy pricing should use energy total cost pricing, namely energy price should include energy resource cost, engineering cost andecological environment cost. Considering the characteristic of quasi-public goods of energy, we should use energy ladder pricing to optimize industrial structure, assigning limited energy priority to the most economic efficient industry, realizing economic sustainable development.3) To realize the total amount control of energy, besides the market mechanism, we should use such necessary administrative means as energy norm and quotas, improving energy efficiency and achieving energy configuration optimization.Later need to study questions:For the limits of data, paper do not complete investigation, the energy total cost, and the measurements of ladder pricing. Fossil energy total cost and ladder pricing model design involve energy resource cost, engineering costs, the ecological environment cost and levels division of the ladder pricing, there is greater difficulty in getting these data, including large expert experience and fossil energy enterprise production and energy development and use.
Keywords/Search Tags:Energy optimistic configuration, Dynamic game, Total cost pricing, Energy quota, Energy quotas
PDF Full Text Request
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