The Research On The Satellite Infrared Temperature Increase Abnormal Of NCEP And The Astro-tidal-triggering To Forecast Short Impending Earthquake

The earthquake forecast is difficult in our society, the paper use the theory of astro-tidal-triggering, construct stress, the seismic fault, rock break and slide and the infrared radiation experiment of rock endure to analyze the temperature increase abnormal images before impending earthquakes of the world and think that:1.The research shows that the rock infrared radiation under the stress is similar to the result of satellite infrared monitor in the procession, types, characters. These established an foundation to the new method of using the satellite to supervise the earthquake activity.2.Through physics simulating the same weather conditions, the temperature of atmosphere under the loading 350 V/m～700 V/m rise 4～6.6 centigrade than no electric field. To observe the weather temperature, got characters of the impending earthquake distinguished from the no earthquake temperature increase: the temperature rise was not controlled by the sunlight; the time of peak temperature is homologous to the time of earthquake occurrence; the spatial distributing was controlled by the belt of activity construct; the temperature increase is steadily and successive.3.Calculated the time fluctuations in the dynamics of the additive tectonic stress of astro-tidal-triggering (ATSA.), the paper classified the ATSA. into Pressurization type promotion slide, Reducing pressure type promotion slide and Pressurization and reducing pressure type promotion slide. The additive tectonic stress of astro-tidal-triggering (ATSA) is only an external factor rather than a decisive factor. The decisive factor is seisinotectonic activity. The earthquake occurred at the end range of the ATSA peak value, it indicated that the ATSA didn't spring the earthquake in suddenly, but it is a successively acceleration process.4.The anomaly temperature spatial-time evolution images provide an intuitionistic indication of the seismotectonic movement process. Using the short-term/impending development phase of earthquakes, as the temperature increase anomaly at the seismoenic area can rather intuitively indicate the conditions of the seism-tectonic movement; it is possible using the NCEP temperature abnormal increase evolution images to circle the temperature abnormal increase areas. Then, according to the relation between the time-wise evolution of the additive tectonic stress of astro-tidal-triggering (ATSA) at faults, at different depths and different orientations within the identified temperature abnormal increase region, and their relation with the occurrence time of earthquakes, it is possible to predict the possible occurrence time of the developing earthquakes. Accordingly, using NCEP temperature abnormal increase evolution images as the main guideline, by analysis of the additive tectonic stress of astro-tidal-triggering (ATSA) as the inducement condition, and with the seismic geological conditions as the basic condition, from a plane identifying the line, and from the line identifying the point to catch the earthquake, is most likely a very hopeful new earthquake prediction method during the short-term/impending developing phase of earthquakes.5.The NCEP images is one of the most effective data to attain anomaly temperature and the dynamic spatial-time information over large area, especially in certain special areas like ocean areas and land areas covered by the cloudy where the normal infrared bandwidth of satellites can't effectively penetrate the cloudy, and thus can not provide the information of temperature abnormal increase.