Study On The Development Level And Differentiation Path Of Agricultural Modernization In The Farming-pastoral Zone Of Northern China

Reports of the 19 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China proposed to implement the rural vitalization strategy and defined the general requirement of accelerating agricultural rural modernization.The farming-pastoral zone in north China is the ecotone of ley farming and plough farming.It is the important ecological safety barrier and water conservation zone.Agricultural development has the unique economic form and spatial form.To promote agricultural modernization development shows the important significance on comprehensive rural vitalization in China and basic modernization.Starting from the rural vitalization strategy,agricultural features in the new era and agricultural modernization development mechanism,the author in this paper regards the maximum province—Inner Mongolia in the northern farming-pastoral zone as an example to deeply analyze agricultural development conditions and development ability.Also,the author selects county regions of Erdos and Bayannur as research sample areas,comprehensively evaluates the agricultural modernization level,scientifically identifies the differential path of agricultural modernization,and proposes countermeasures for agricultural modernization of the farming-pastoral zone.Main opinions and conclusions are stated as follows:(1)Agricultural development modernization in the new era includes agricultural production modernization,agricultural operation modernization,agricultural service modernization,rural social modernization,agricultural ecological modernization and agricultural multi-functional development.It can construct the agricultural modernization analysis frame with industrial prosperity,social development,ecological support,and functional expansion and constructs the “six-in-one”theoretical system of agricultural modernization in the new era.(2)Agricultural development in Inner Mongolia remains the transitory stage from traditional agriculture to modern agriculture.Agricultural production condition level has the obvious spatial difference.Measured by the factor analysis and grey correlation method and affected by large scale,industrialization,marketlization and labor force level,agricultural development ability had downtrend in 2008-2017.The combination area of farming and grazing is higher than the area based on animal husbandry.Agricultural development ability of industrial cities dominated by energy mineral resources is relatively lower.(3)The agricultural modernization evaluation index system in the new era with 4 system goals,6 first-level indicators and 20 second-level indicators is constructed.The author applies the entropy-Topsis method and finds that the entire agricultural modernization in sample areas remains in the middle level.Restrained by agricultural production conditions and development ability,agricultural modernization level in the central urban area and agriculture-oriented suburb or county region with combination of farming and grazing remains the high-middle level.The outskirt with combination of farming and grazing or the main county region with animal husbandry stays the middle-low level below.(4)By using Tobit regression model,the author finds that water resource utilization level and scale operation level are main constraints in the whole sample areas.Furthermore,northern Hetao irrigated area with combination of farming and grazing or the agriculture-oriented main county region is affected by farmers' living standard.The southern combination area of farming and grazing or the main county region based on animal husbandry is affected by the energy consumption level.(5)The BP neural network pattern identification method can realize the function mapping between influence factors and development paths.According to BP neural network training results,the agricultural modernization development advantage path in the central urban area is the agricultural development path with leisure maintenance.The agricultural modernization advantage path in the suburban county area includes adoption agriculture,community support agriculture,and recycling agricultural development.The agricultural modernization advantage path in the outskirt county regards biological agriculture,agricultural Internet of Things,and county-region advantage path with cultural characteristics as the agricultural cultural tourism development path.(6)The agricultural modernization level in the northern farming-pastoral zone should focus on promoting urban-rural integration and enhancement of agricultural science and technology innovation ability,develop the endowment advantages,enhance agricultural ecological bearing capacity,accelerate complementation of shortcomings,implement the differential path strategy,support the agricultural modernization path of exploring ecologicalization,and promote comprehensive agricultural development.