Evaluate The Risk Management Of Real Estate Project With High Turnover Rate

The development cycle of real estate projects is long,and there are many uncertain factors in the development process.In recent years,our government has adhered to the policy of "maintaining stability" and "houses are for living in,not for speculation.",and has successively issued a series of regulatory policies,resulting in the continuous increase in the Exploitation and operation costs of real estate projects and the reduction in profits.In order to ensure the sustainability of their own development,a large number of real estate enterprises have adopted the "high turnover" model as their business management system.In recent years,the bubble of the real estate market has gradually become obvious.The government has introduced precise and combined control measures to maintain the stability of the real estate market.However,the bank’s monetary policy continues to tighten,the epidemic has become normal,and some real estate companies have problems in the capital chain.Whether the high-turnover strategy can continue to bring high leverage and high profits to the company needs further study.This thesis study the risk management of high-turnover real estate projects with the Kunshan JF project as the research object,in order to provide a reference for the high-turnover risk management of real estate projects.Firstly,the research background and research significance of this topic are put forward,and the related concepts of high-turnover real estate projects are briefly introduced in combination with the theoretical basis and methods of related research at home and abroad.Secondly,using the method of combining theory and practice,the theoretical risk factor list is obtained through similar subject research,the actual risk factor list is obtained through the occurred project data,and the list is summarized and sorted to initially obtain the risk identification factor list.An independent fault tree system analysis is carried out on the risk factors.According to the results of the fault tree analysis,8 risk factors of real estate high-turnover projects are finally determined.Then,using the grey analysis method,combining qualitative and quantitative,a risk evaluation model is established,and the qualitative problem of risk evaluation is transformed into a quantitative problem.According to the result of identifying the risk factors of real estate high-turnover projects,determine the risk evaluation index and evaluation level,determine the weight of the risk index through the analytic hierarchy process,and then use the gray whitening weight function to process the expert’s scoring value of each risk index into different gray categories.weight vector,and then perform single-value znumerical processing on it to obtain a comprehensive risk evaluation value.Finally,taking the Kunshan JF project as the research object,the risk evaluation model is practiced and the evaluation results are obtained through the above analysis methods.The high turnover risk level of the Kunshan JF project is an appropriate value,and some risk factors have a greater impact on the high turnover results.,it is necessary to take corresponding measures to reduce the risk.According to the analysis of the corresponding calculation results,the corresponding risk response plan is proposed for each risk factor,which provides a reference for the risk management under the high-turnover development mode of the Kunshan JF project.It is also expected that this method can be used for providing reference to similar projects for decision-making and risk management.