Evaluation Of Community Early Warning Management Mechanism Based On AHP Unascertained Measure

This paper uses AHP unascertained measure method to evaluate the community early warning mechanism.Firstly,the evaluation model is constructed,mainly using the expert survey method,and the indicators used in evaluating the community early warning management mechanism are determined,including three first-class indicators:institutional setting and system construction,monitoring and response,early warning effect,and personnel organization allocation,material equipment allocation,system construction,training and drill,information release time,information collection approach,information release link,information coverage crowd response time,on-site disposal measures,treatment effect of early warning events,tracking and prevention of early warning events,and mass satisfaction.Then the weights between different indexes are determined by AHP method,and the unascertained measurement model is constructed by using the weights to eliminate the subjective influence of AHP method on evaluation time-sharing.Taking the early warning management mechanism of S community in Q city as an example,this paper uses the unascertained measurement model constructed in the previous step to calculate,and comes to the conclusion that the evaluation result of the community early warning management mechanism is medium,which is higher than that of using AHP method alone.Finally,the model and evaluation results are analyzed from four aspects: the game balance between the community and the outside,the analysis of different levels of early warning management mechanism,the main reasons for the low score caused by subjectivity and the guidance of improving the early warning mechanism,and the corresponding optimization and improvement scheme is given.Through the research of the above contents,this paper draws the following conclusions:(1)The overall effect of the early warning management mechanism of S community is at a medium level,in which the institutional setting and system construction indicators are at a high level,the early warning effect is at a high level,and the monitoring and response effect is at a low level.which proves that the monitoring and response effect affects the level of the early warning management mechanism of S community.In the unascertained measurement,the weighted results of the comprehensive index measurement and the single index measurement are the same,which proves that the model has consistency and availability.The evaluation of the early warning management mechanism of S community is more objective and accurate as a whole,but the evaluation results of AHP method with more subjective tendency show that the evaluation of the early warning management mechanism of this community should be of low grade.The difference between the two evaluation methods is that the subject participating in the evaluation is the individual and the evaluation object is the organization.The lack of empathy channel between them,natural antagonism and the rapid dissemination of bad information are the main reasons for the low subjective evaluation,which reflects the necessity of adding unascertained measurement method after the AHP method.(2)There are many reasons why the evaluation level of S community early warning management mechanism is medium.Although different problems have the same level,they also have internal logical hierarchy.Through weight comparison and logical judgment,it can be inferred that the source problem lies in the number of early warning personnel,drilling and training,tracking and improvement.These three indicators are the main inducements for problems in the three stages before,during and after the occurrence of early warning events,Therefore,we should pay attention to the improvement of these three aspects in order to quickly improve the evaluation level of early warning management mechanism.(3)The early warning management mechanism shows obvious internal and external game characteristics.When designing the early warning management mechanism,the community needs to play a game with the superior government internally and achieve a balance in the form of overweight.Externally,it needs to play a game with the early warning object and achieve a balance in the form of stricter management or looser management.(4)Through the analysis of the guidance of improving the early warning management mechanism,this paper obtains the important reasons for the general evaluation of the early warning management mechanism of S community,such as the relatively poor allocation of personnel and organization,the delay of information release time,and the unscientific on-site disposal measures,and puts forward the measures of expanding the number of personnel through various channels,optimizing the early warning workflow and on-site disposal measures,tracking and improving the early warning management mechanism.