| The development of automation and more strict labor system or higher labor costs are having a huge impact on China’s export trade,which is based on the advantage of cheap labor.Concerns about "machine substitution" caused by the application of industrial robots and rising labor costs caused by the implementation of the minimum wage have greatly affected the production activities of Chinese firms.In this context,this paper mainly explores the specific impact of minimum wage and the application of imported robots on China’s export trade,in order to explore the impact of labor market shocks from the labor cost at the institutional level and the development of automation at the technical level.In trace on the basis of existing research,through the case,background and theoretical mechanism analysis,this paper mainly uses 2005-2013 matching data of China’s industrial enterprise data and customs data,as well as the minimum wage standard data,which includes 338 Chinese cities and four municipalities to carry out empirical research and makes a series of extension consideration.Finally,some targeted suggestions are put forward from two perspectives of the government and firms according to the research results,so as to provide theoretical basis for China’s subsequent economic development.The research results of this paper indicate that: The increase of the minimum wage significantly and positively impacts the export scale and export choice of firms,but the application of imported robots can only significantly expand the export scale of firms;Moreover,there is no interaction between the two in the positive effects on the export scale of firms,but this positive effect will be partially or completely offset in the decision of firms’ export choice.At the industry level,the application of imported robots by competitors in the same industry will significantly reduce the possibility of firms choosing to export,but will not affect the export scale of export firms.In the heterogeneity analysis,the impact of minimum wage on the export scale of firms is strengthened with the increase of labor intensity,but the impact on the export choice of firms is opposite;Among different trade modes,the positive impact of minimum wage is greater in processing trade,while the positive impact of imported robots is greater in general trade.In addition,the mechanism test results prove that productivity and employment do play different intermediary roles in the process of minimum wage and imported robots affecting the export behavior of firms. |
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