| With the continuous strengthening of the country’s advocacy for environmental protection and green development,people’s green travel awareness is gradually increasing.Shared bicycles have developed a huge scale since their inception and occupy a relatively important position in the existing domestic urban transportation system.In recent years,the country has successively introduced various regulations to guide the development of shared bicycles,even to this day,first-tier cities have implemented relatively complete operation and management measures.Based on the research of first-tier cities,this article researches on the problems in the second and third tier cities such as the profitability of bicycle companies,government management measures,urban traffic congestion and pollution.First of all,this article analyzes the influencing factors of shared transportation and shared bicycles on the basis of predecessors,determines the methods and models used in this article and determines the composition of the questionnaire,determines the number of questionnaires based on the basic principles of statistics,and collects data with the help of questionnaires.A total of 391 valid personal information and traffic-related information of residents were collected through offline and online distribution.Through the analysis of the questionnaire data,factors that may affect the model,such as gender,are screened out,and factor analysis software is used to remove the factors that have less impact on the model with the help of chi-square test,KMO fitness test and other methods,and bring the rest of the factors into the nested logit model(NL)model for calibration.Analyze the influence of factors on travelers’ choice of shared bicycles through the calibration results and test the reliability of the model.Studies have shown that the factor that has the greatest influence on the rider’s choice of bicycle and car is age,and the factor that has the greatest influence on the number of times a rider rides a bicycle is the riding distance.Afterwards,the binary logit model(BL)was used to analyze the factors affecting the travel costs of cars and shared bicycles,and the results showed that the distance of a single trip has the greatest impact on both.Secondly,it analyzes the carbon emission of vehicles based on the life cycle method and the structural model method,establishes a carbon emission model,and analyzes the contribution of shared bicycles in energy conservation and environmental protection based on chapters 3 and 4 and related years of data.Finally,with the help of Arc GIS software,on the basis of obtaining the POI data of the road network,residential areas and shopping malls and supermarkets in the selected study area of Kundulun District,the analysis indicators are obtained according to the conclusions of Chapters 3 and 4,thereby optimizing the comparison of shared bicycles.A good parking location can provide a reference for the government to divide bicycle parking areas.This research has the following significance:(1)Relevant government departments can further deepen the urban traffic management of Baotou City by referring to the research conclusions,improve related traffic infrastructure,and accurately divide bicycle parking areas to achieve green travel guidance for urban residents,thereby Promote the early realization of the goal of carbon neutrality.(2)Bicycle operating companies can refer to relevant conclusions and provide users with more precise targeted services to maximize benefits.(3)As a third-tier city in the northern part of Baotou,its urban development has certain representative significance.The research results have certain reference value for other second-and third-tier cities in the northern region. |