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Short-term Wind Energy Forecasting By Implementing Novel LSTM And ANN Approach

Posted on:2022-01-20Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Institution:UniversityCandidate:Sarfraz MuhammadFull Text:PDF
GTID:2492306338960769Subject:Power system and its automation
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In renewable energy wind power is considered as an auspicious type of clean energy and it is the fastest-growing renewable form of electricity generation that’s why wind energy has drew the attention from many academician,scientists and researchers in latest research.However,wind turbine power prediction is still a thought-provoking work owing to the inherent features of stochasticity,non-linearity,and randomness.Therefore,with the advancement in the modern industry the requirement for an effectual source of power for operating,managing and continuing this industry has been raising in the recent years.The irregular and stochastic power production pattern makes these resource to be very challenging to be forecasted.The cause behind this could be the many fluctuating factors but the one emphasised in this thesis is the relative humidity,wind(pressure,speed,direction);also physical parts of the wind turbine.Accordingly,the utmost importance is to establish the techniques which are intelligent enough to make the prediction of the future power values from the unpredictable wind energy sources.By looking at the significance and severity of the problem there is urgency in accurate predictions of power from the wind for stable and efficient set-up of grid station for smooth supply of power.For this,various forecasting models are implied and tested in the interval and time series forecasting for wind speed time series forecasting but these models are mostly random and un-even in nature.Presently forecasting models for wind power estimation are centred to the deployment of ANN can become well accustomed to versatile interval and time series to wind speed.Conversely,these models are unable to simultaneously and effficaciously forecast the whole time series data of an all-inclusive(speed)of wind farm From these models,merging diverse techniques to conceptualize the hybrid models are ordinarily discussed in the past studies.To accomplish the goal of effective and reliable prediction of wind energy,the two neural network constructed algorithms are explored and paralleled by expending different statistical and time indicators these two models for example LSTM and ANN models,so to guarantee that final method meet the objective,what it is made for.Outcomes demonstration depicts LSTM is preferred due to its lesser amount of computational time besides high estimation precision than the ANN even if it has also conveyed the precise predictions.
Keywords/Search Tags:Wind Forecasting, LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory), Renewable Energy, Wind Power Output Prediction, ANN(Artificial Neural Network)
PDF Full Text Request
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