Study On Risk Management Of Resettlement Project For Flood Control Project In Floodarea Of Shandong Section Of Yellow River

For a long time,the Yellow River has has been characterized by less water and more sand.The channel was heavily silted up.The lower Yellow River forms a towering"hanging river" in the North China Plain.It seriously threatens the safety of people’s lives and property in the area of 25 square kilometers along the Yellow River.In order to prevent floods,people have built a lot of flood control works in the Lower Yellow River and gradually improved the flood control system.While preventing floods,it has also greatly guaranteed the healthy development of local economy and society.However,due to the construction of flood control works,a large amount of land needs to be requisitioned and the operation of the project will inevitably have an impact on the surrounding ecological environment,so it is necessary to relocate the floodplain immigrants of the project site,Because of the large scope of project long construction cycle,large investment,many departments,complex affairs,it will inevitably produce various problems and risks,including social economic,political and environmental aspects.If the resettlement of the immigrants is not appropriate,it will not only affect the normal production and living order of immigrants,but also threaten the economic and social harmony and stability in serious cases.It is very significant to identify and take effective actions to avoid and prevent the probable risks.This paper is based on the basic theoretical knowledge of risk management,using literature research method,case analysis and other research methods,focusing on the immigrant’s resettlement project of flood control project in floodplain area of Shandong section of the Yellow River.Identify the main risk points that affect the resettlement project by expert survey.Using the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)to establish the risk index system,construct the risk evaluation model,figure out the risk factor weight of the project resettlement and evaluate the risk probability,finally put forward the corresponding risk prevention measures to deal with.This paper designs three questionnaires,one is to invite experts to check and identify the risk factors of the project,the other is to invite experts to assign values to the importance of each factor in the project risk index system,and the third is to collect experts to assign values to the probability of project risk occurrence.After sorting out the statistical effective questionnaire data,the judgment matrix is established by the analytic hierarchy process,then we use AHP to figure out the weight of every risk factor in the risk index system.Then,with the help of the AHP,calculate the probability of various risks of the emigration project and make the result evaluation.Finally,the paper puts forward targeted risk aversion and prevention countermeasures,so as to provide scientific theoretical support and technical support for the management to do a good job of resettlement in the Yellow River floodplain,lay a solid foundation for the smooth implementation of the Yellow River flood control project construction and resettlement and ensure that people live orderly and the development of local economy and society keeps harmonious and stable.