Analysis Of The Effect Of Shared Bicycles On Rail Traffic Passenger Flow

The sharing economy is a relatively hot term in recent years.In 2016,the rapid development of domestic shared bicycles is the representative of the sharing economy.Bicycle sharing has become one of the important transportation choices for travelers due to its features of on-demand,green travel and so on.At the same time,bike sharing has become an important tool for solving the last mile problem of residents traveling.The emergence of shared bicycles may have a certain impact on the operation of other modes of transportation.Therefore,this article takes the title of "Analysis of the Influence of Shared Bicycles on Rail Traffic Passenger Flow" to explore the impact of the emergence of shared bicycles on rail traffic passenger flow.This article first summarizes the development process of shared bicycles and rail transportation,and summarizes the characteristics of shared bicycles and their advantages over other modes of transportation to connect rail transportation.Based on the traveler’s perspective,a generalized travel cost model based on travel mode selection around the rail transit was established.The components of the generalized travel cost were analyzed in detail.The transportation choice is more in line with the actual situation.Secondly,using the personal attributes of travelers as independent variables,a decision tree and random forest algorithm are used to build a shared bicycle use willingness model.Relying on the generalized travel cost as a basis,the shared bicycle use willingness model is used as an auxiliary to construct a shared bicycle model that affects rail transit passenger flow.Finally,taking Kunming Rail Transit University Station as an example,the actual significance of the passenger flow impact model was verified.The results show that shared bicycle direct access within a shorter travel range will reduce rail traffic passenger traffic by 37.2%,while traveling at full distance Among them,shared bicycles connecting rail transit instead of bus direct increase the proportion of rail transit passenger flow by 13.3%.This article introduces the actual perception of traveler travel to redefine the generalized travel cost,and use this as a basis to build a shared bicycle model that affects rail transit passenger flow.It has certain reference value in the selection of rail transit stations,shared bicycle layout and bus route planning.It also has certain practical significance.