Sub-surface hydrology and vegetation drivers at macrotidal Bay of Fundy salt marshes: Implications for future restoration

There is a growing interest to restore Bay of Fundy salt marshes diked for agriculture. Marshes recovering for several decades from storm-breached dikes can serve as analogues for restored marshes. In this study I examine factors driving sub-surface hydrology and vegetation at recovering and reference Bay of Fundy salt marshes. In Fundy marshes, groundwater at channel edges is insensitive to tidal flooding (<10 cm change in depth) and deep draw-downs (40-100 cm) occur. Sub-surface hydrology here differs from organogenic, microtidal marshes due to low saturated hydraulic conductivity, infrequent flooding of marsh interiors, and larger hydraulic gradients imposed at channel edges. By calculating marsh elevation at dike-breach and considering Spartina alterniflora's vertical range, it is apparent that salt marsh vegetation could establish when dikes breached. Multivariate analysis indicates that reference and restored/recovering sites should have similar sizes and tidal ranges. These criteria introduce problems as Fundy dikelands are more extensive than marshes not targeted for agriculture and tidal range increases exponentially up-Bay.