Research Of China's Export Growth Drivers

Since the reform and opening up,exports as one of the "troika" has been promoting the healthy development of China's economy,China's use of industrial restructuring of developed countries to take an opportunity to actively participate in the international division of labor system,from the 1980s to the annual growth rate of foreign trade More than 9.0%,has become the world's export power.However,faced with some problems,such as rising labor costs,coastal factories,"collapse",Europe and the United States manufacturing industry,foreign investment to Southeast Asia,and so on,for China's export prospects cast a shadow.China's import and export trade volume in 2015 are double down,the total trade in 2016 overtake China,in this context to study China's export growth will have a special significance.This paper first analyzes the Chinese and foreign scholars for the export growth of the literature were interpreted and reviewed.This paper focuses on the relevant theoretical basis of economics.This paper starts from the reality of our country,first of all,the reasons for the decline of China's export growth,that the reasons for the growth of exports is China's export industry comparative advantage and income increases.The role of both in promoting China's export growth has undergone a process from the 1990s to rely mainly on comparative advantage to promote export trade,gradually developing a transition to a large proportion of reliance on earnings growth to promote export growth and explain its occurrence s reason.Secondly,for the more accurate analysis of the factors of China's export growth,this paper from the export industry in the manufacturing industry analysis,the use of regression analysis of China's manufacturing industry productivity and absorption of FDI on the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry is positive And then the use of ARMA model and BP filter on the next few years,China's manufacturing industry,labor costs,absorption of FDI and labor productivity were analyzed,that the next few years,FDI will stabilize,Labor productivity will grow faster,and labor costs inevitably rise,so that China's exports will have a greater pressure on exports.This article will be aimed at China's commodity export growth faced by some of the objective issues and put forward countermeasures and suggestions.Such as the transfer of enterprises to the Mainland to attract international investment;enterprises to actively improve the technological content of products for Chong Hing and so on.