Research On Temporal And Spatial Evolution,Driving Mechanism And Path Selection Of China's Industry

Since the era of industrialization,the powerful capabilities of the nation,the better quality of life,and the efficient urbanization have been largely determined by the industrial development level.Known as the "world's factory",the industrial production of China firstly overtook the USA and the other Western developed countries,and changed the world's industrial pattern in 2011.China has became the world's largest industrial country,which is honored as "world's miracle".From the reform and opening up policy,the industrial output goes up with a rate of more than 10%each year and the development of industrialization accelerates the economy and urbanization.In 2016,the industrial output of China contributed 33.31%of China's GDP.The industrialization of China is the critical impetus and engine of rapid economic development.Currently,the development of industrialization is certainly in a transitional period,which from late stage of industrialization to post-industrial society.This period has the marked feature of the late stage of industrialization,at the same time,and has the fundamental feature of the post-industrial society.Therefore,to the current stage of development,developing the advanced industrialization is one of the vital ways to make our country powerful and people rich,to achieve the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,to realize the Chinese dream.The paper uses Chinese industry as an empirical research object,based on the Industrial development stage,international status and current development problems,adapting methods of Spatial correlation analysis,Location entropy,Nuclear density and building Linear regression econometric model etc.,using the software of Arcgis,Arescene,GeoDa and Eviews from 2000 to 2015.The paper analyzes the temporal and spatial evolution of industry,mining industry,manufacturing industry,electric and thermal,gas and water production and supply industry,and sub-sector of manufacturing industry,and explores the drive mechanism of research objects from three aspects,including labor input,capital investment,and technical input.At the end,according to the temporal and Spatial Evolution,drive mechanism,national and regional development strategies,domestic and foreign market fluctuations,the paper forecasts the trend of industrialization and provides the efficient methods to promote the quality of industrialization.The results of the research on the characteristics of industrial space-time evolution are as follows:(1)The overall industrial development shows a trend of gradient declining from east to west and of decentralizing,and builds a multilevel-spotted industrial distribution;(2)The mining industry shows a trend of gradient declining from north to south,and builds a multi-level and latitude extended industial distribution,and its features appear alternately year by year;(3)The manufacturing industry shows a trend of gradient declining from east to west,and of decentralizing,and builds a multi-level and longitudinal extended distrubution;(4)The electric and thermal,gas and water production and supply industries have poor spatial agglomeration and show a trend of decentralizing;The results of the research on the driving factors are as follows:(1)In the driving factors of overall development of industry,the influence of technological progress is the biggest,followed by labor input,lowest capital investment;(2)In the driving factors of development of mining industry,the influence of technological progress is the biggest.The effects of labor input and capital investment are different in different years;(3)In the driving factors of development of manufacturing industry,technological progress has significant advantages and also is the main driving force.The role of labor input is always higher than the effect of capital investment;(4)In the development of electric and thermal,gas and water production and supply industry,because of complex industrial structure and strong government participation,there is obviously external intervention.The path of China's future industrial development is as follows:Firstly,we should optimize industrial structure and alleviate over-capacity problem;Secondly,we could improve the total factor productivity(TFP)and come true "China creation";Thirdly,we ought to rely on the industrial gradient transfer and "B&R" strategy,and realize integration of the development of regional industry;Finally,we should give priority to supply-side reform and strike a balance between supply-side reform and demand-side adjustment.