The Reaseach On The Influence And Transmission Mechanism Of The Logistics Industry In Harbin For Economic Development

With the civilization progress and social development,commodity trade has been booming and logistics industry has made considerable progress.Similarly,the development of logistics industry drives the surroundin g economic development.The economic development brings more trade activities,thus promoting the progress of logistics industry.The two is always complementary.This paper aims at studying the regional logistics industry development and economic development,which proves that the logistics industry plays a role in promoting the economic development in a certain sense.From Harbin,this paper focuses on the actual production life and conducts the quantitative analysis and econometric analysis for the logi stics industry and economic development status in Harbin in recent years.This part is divided into three aspects.It conducts a quantitative analysis for the relationship between logistics industry and economic development.According to the characteristic s of the research object,it selects four economic development and logistics activity indexes,respectively regional gross domestic product,freight volume,highway mileage and fixed assets investment of logistics industry,build a model,conducts stationary test,co-integration test and ARIMA model test for data model with the use of professional analysis software,establish error correction model and vector auto regression model and conducts a preliminary analysis for the existing data with the help of econometrics research method,thus proving that these variables have certain causal relationships.Next,this paper selects China South City Logistics Park in Harbin,the largest investment project in Harbin in recent years as an example to study its role in promoting the economic development in Daowai District,Harbin.It introduces the economic and social development situation in Daowai District,Harbin and the development situation in China South City,Harbin,analyzes and expounds the promoting role of lo gistics industry in regional economic development.Through research,I think the logistics industry has promoting effect on the urban economic development.In the long run,the logistics mileage,freight turnover,logistics added value play a certain promo ting role in regional economic development.With China South City in Harbin as an example,this paper proves its role in promoting the economic development in Daowai District,Harbin through qualitative research.Finally,it puts forward policy suggestions for the research results.