The Evaluation And Prediction Of Investment Openness Of Liaoning Province Under The Perspective Of FTZ

In the context of the increasing economic relevance of the world,a region and even a country should keep the rapid economic development,and opening to the outside world is an inevitable choice.Now,China is opening a new round of opening up,and investment opening up as a part of the opening to the outside world has attracted much attention.The research on the degree of investment op:nness is of great significance to the research and development of regional open economy.Since China's economic opening has developed a new round of development.Liaoning as the first provinces formally established the Liaoning Free Trade Zone in 2016,which will lift the level of investment in Liaoning to have the positive influence of Liaoning's opening to the world,through its spillover effect.This article first elaborates the current situation of the Liaoning Free Trade Zone,the cities where the Free Trade Zone is located,and the overall Liaoning Province's investment opening,and shows that the Liaoning Free Trade Zone has created its own investment openness in its cities through its agglomeration,system innovation,and radiation effects with major influence.The city where the Free Trade Zone is located has promoted the increase in investment openness in Liaoning through its main role and growth lead mechanism.In the prediction of Liaoning province's investment openness,the ARIMA model is selected.The ARIMA model shows its superiority in the area of short-term prediction.Its own data smoothing processing steps successfully overcome the problem of large data fluctuation in Liaoning province.The results will be concluded that Liaoning FTA positive expected growth was established with the Liaoning province investment openness,namely the establishment of the Liaoning free trade zone will greatly enhance the Liaoning province investment openness;import and export volume,GDP,total foreign business investment and FDI,ODI are the Liaoning investment openness influence index is large.Finally,according to the results of the empirical analysis,this paper puts forward the corresponding suggestions and Countermeasures for the further development of the Liaoning free trade area.