Economic Effect Of Delayed Retirement Policy Research In China

As China's medical level improved,the average life expectancy also increased year by year,leading to the further deepening of the population aging,coupled with the economic system changes,China's current pension retirement system has been unable to meet the reality of the situation,which also makes China's pension The gap in gold is getting bigger and bigger.With the deepening development of China's market economy,the establishment of multi-level social security system,and effectively solve the problem of retirement pension has become an inevitable requirement to achieve social harmony and stability.Therefore,China needs to improve the retirement pension system to meet the growing needs of the elderly more and more old,more urgent is that China needs to improve the retirement pension system to disperse the aging population aging brought about by the pension pressure.Based on the assumption of the delayed retirement policy issued by the Society,this paper takes Shanghai as an example,select the four important indicators of pension,labor supply,labor quality and GDP in the economy,using the gray forecasting model Forecasting the impact of these four indicators before and after the implementation of the delayed retirement policy,compared with the economic effects arising from the implementation of the delayed retirement policy,and through the implementation of the delayed retirement policy before and after the data comparison analysis.At the same time,the method of relevance analysis is used to determine the importance ranking of these four elements,which plays an important role in comparing the economic effects before and after the implementation of the delayed retirement policy.In this study,the delayed retirement policy is quantified as the annual retirement age,which is convenient for quantitative research.Through the trend of forecasting each index in Shanghai,we can clearly know the correlation between the implementation of the delayed retirement policy and each index,And obtains the economic effect of the delayed retirement policy on Shanghai,so that the economic effect of the delayed retirement policy can be drawn.This paper presents a positive correlation trend with the estimated value of labor supply,labor quality and product value.This article explores the economic effect of delaying retirement policy in China,and delaying the retirement age plays a positive role in promoting China's economy.In view of this,provide powerful data support for the delay retirement policy,give policy makers some policy Suggestions,make it according to the economic effect of the judgment of delay retirement policy choice for the implementation of the scheme and supporting policies.