| The problem of corruption is one of the major challenges and further development of deep reform facing the country,from the existing literature,more research literature is a measure and the definition of corruption,and the reasons and Countermeasures of anti-corraption.Most scholars are the impact of corruption on economic growth.There are two kinds of views the principle,that corruption may promote economic growth,namely "effective corruption" theory;second,more people are corrupt will hinder economic growth.In recent years the "anti-corruption cause Chinese economic downturn"point of view is becoming more and more noticeable,the eighteen since the 31 provinces of China based on the BureauAnd above the level of officials sacked people(Statistics in order to reflect the degree of anti-corruption)and the empirical analysis with the actual growth rate of between GDP,the main purpose is to understand whether the anti-corruption will restrain economic growth?If it is,then this is the impact of short-term or long-term anti-corruption affect the economy?The growth of conduction mode is how to further understand?These problems will promote people to understanding the inner link between corruption,anti-corruption and economic growth,enrich the content of the study,it is of great realistic significance.The eighteen years of China's provinces and cities officials sacked passengers to describe the degree of anti-corruption,and attempts to explain the influence on economic growth in the short term anti-corruption generated;attempts to explore the conduction way of anti-corruption has an impact on economic growth.To solve this problem,not only beneficial to improve the efficiency of China's anti-corruption struggle.It is beneficial for China's economic growth and fast,to maintain social stability and further development has very important practical significance to our country's comprehensive national strength.Therefore,this paper includes the following six chapters.The first chapter,introduction.This chapter from the modern society "anti-corruption led to the economic downturn Chinese view more and more compelling" as the starting point of this phenomenon,the main problem leads to the research of this paper,namely,since eighteen years,anti-corruption influence exerted on the economic growth in our country,and thus trigger a a series of related problems.And introduces the research contents and methods of the article,and lack of innovation.The second chapter,literature review.This chapter sums up the basic contents of the theory of corruption,as anti-corruption research.This part mainly from the definition of coruption,corruption measure,the economic growth mode and channel,and corruption in certain circumstances has the positive effect and other aspects were summarized.The third chapter,current situation of anti-corruption since eighteen.The main contents of this chapter is the summary of the basic content of anti-corruption,from the definition and measure of anti-corruption,to the development of anti-corruption,anti-corruption is the key status since eighteen years,according to the present situation,proposed this research hypothesis.Since eighteen since China is still in the high-pressure anti-corruption situation,in this kind of situation leads to this research hypothesis 1:the Commission informed the local officials sacked events will lead to short-term decline in economic growth.In 1 the hypothesis includes two aspects,one is the anti-corruption impact on economic growth direction,two is the influence on anti-corruption the degree of economic growth in the research.Hypothesis 1 on the basis of the hypothesis 2:the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection informed officials sacked people,mainly through the impact of investment,thereby affecting economic growthThe fourth chapter,the research model and empirical research.First,construct the model 1 as basic model,using the fixed effect model of panel data,the anti-corruption impact on economic growth;secondly,the introduction of explanatory variables lagged as another explanatory variables to construct the model of 2 based on 1 basic models.Study on Anti-corruption,the impact on economic growth is lagging or continuity;finally,construct the model based on the two models of the 3 anti-corruption investigation on the impact of economic growth conduction.Secondly,analysis and empirical test results presented in the previous hypothesis.In order to ensure the reliability of the results,to avoid thereFalse regression,based on the data of unit root test and cointegration test,and the model selection based on the first two on the test set to test the model,finally to determine the fixed effect model.The data model,a series of tests on three models have been set to regression analysis,described the specific the text of the results of the model.This paper estimates the panel data model in this part by the fourth quarter of 2012 to 31 provinces and cities in the first quarter of 2017 after the discovery,in the control of the relevant factors of heterogeneity,anti-corruption significantly reduced the short-term growth of the local economy,this effect is by slowing downInvestment as a result of.The fifth chapter,anti-corruption impact on the economic growth of the robustness and heterogeneity.Considering the statistical data in accordance with the dummy variable set income may have differences,and officials of the Commission informed the passengers sacked information,there will be sacked and area level officials sacked the difference,so the main content of this chapter divided into two aspects:one is the regression results of the basic model of robustness test is two;from the two aspects of regional heterogeneity and heterogeneity test level officials sacked officials people on economic growth.The sixth chapter,conclusions and countermeasures.The main conclusions of this study has five main points.The first anti-corruption short-term impact on economic growth.Second,anti-corruption by slowing investment will have a negative impact on economic growth.Third,anti-corruption on short-term economic growth of western region are significantly greater than the impact on the economy in the short term the growth of the central region,and on the impact of the central region is significantly greater than the impact on short-term economic growth in the eastern region.In fourth,senior officials sacked the influence to economic growth compared to the impact of low-level sacked officials produced on economic growth is more important.In this part,according to the research results of the correspondingSome policy suggestions are put forward.One is to face the anti-corruption negative impact on short-term economic growth,take measures to improve the efficiency of anti-corruption;two is to not hesitate to adhere to anti-corruption behavior;three is the key to take measures to maintain the normal public infrastructure investment,to ensure that all investment projects in the market as well as normal to maintain the enthusiasm of investment activities in the market.The four is to match the local conditions,the implementation of regional policies;five is in the investigation of anti-corruption officials,should focus on high level government officials.The main contributions of this paper are as follows:first,for people to describe the sacked officials anti-corraption,anti-corruption analysis on short-term economic growth,proved that the anti-corruption in the short term has inhibitory effect on economic growth,it makes us more comprehensive understanding of anti-corruption growing impact on the economy.Second,the anti corruption is affected by investment and thus affect the economic growth,the higher the level of officials and the greater impact of economic growth,which provides a theoretical basis for the development of China's anti-corruption struggle and the improvement of the economy better.Third,this paper analysis method to study the eighteen since the anti-corruption on economic growth.The use of panel data modellt greatly increases the objectivity and reliability of the empirical results,and has more practical significance for practical problems... |
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