With the development of economic globalization and regional integration, China has been committed to cooperate with neighboring countries in economy and trade. Central Asia is an important hub connecting China and Europe. It is an important choice of China’s opening to the outside to develop economic and trade relations with five Central Asian countries. Since its independence, bilateral trade has experienced a process whether to have and being from small to large scale. In 2001 the establishment of the SCO has become the important carner of economic and trade cooperation between China and the five Central Asian countries. They are import and export power in agricultural products trade. And they have unique geographical advantages and rich natural resources of agricultural production, which is a strong complementary advantage of agricultural products. But the bilateral agricultural trade is still small, failed to give full play to the agricultural products trade potential, In 2013 president Xi put forward the One Belt And One Road strategy to provide opportunities for economic and trade cooperation. Trade cooperation pattern is the methods and means to deepen cooperation, so this paper purposes to use the analysis of agricultural trade relations and trade growth fluctuation between China and the five Central Asian countries which provides the theoretical foundation to establish new trade cooperation pattern. The paper is divided into six parts. Firstly, it analyzes the background, significance and research actuality. It found that it is not wide which the scholar researched on agricultural trade cooperation pattern. And they mostly study the regional cooperation in trade and economy such as CAFTA. This article plans to use the competitive and complementary of bilateral agricultural product trade and trade fluctuation factors as the basis of the analysis agricultural trade cooperation. Then it analyzes the current situation of the development of existing cooperation mode and puts forward several kinds of cooperation mode coinciding with the realistic foundation. Secondly, China and the five Central Asian countries have been expanding its agricultural trade in recent years. But sharing of China and Central Asia’s total foreign trade of agricultural products was very little. And the bilateral agricultural trade has a single import and export commodity structure and focusing primarily on type 0 and type 2 and so on. Bilateral agricultural products trade also has the very big development space. Deepening the bilateral agricultural cooperation can play both sides of the trade potential.Thirdly, TC and RTA and OBC index show that the bilateral agricultural products comparative advantage in the international market is on the decline in general. The two sides are competing in fruits and vegetables and animal and plant raw materials. But their international competitiveness is not big. China has high comparative disadvantage in oil seed and leather and textile fiber, while the Central Asian countries have high comparative advantage. At the same time China has abundant labor and technology and capital resources. It mainly exports labor and capital intensive agricultural products such as aquatic products, animal fats and imports the land intensive product like cotton. While the Central Asia has abundant land resource, bilateral agricultural trade has a strong complementary and its potential is huge.Fourthly, the analysis of classical CMS model shows that factors to promote China’s export trade growth with Central Asian is the demand effect and the commodity structure effect and market structure effect. Market structure effect began to diminish and the competitiveness effect has prevented the growth of China’s agricultural products export trade. Import demand is the main driver of growth in China’s agricultural products import trade with Central Asia. The improvement of China’s import market structure and agricultural competitiveness promotes the export of the Central Asian. Due to the limitation of central Asian countries agricultural and economic development, the agricultural products export structure can’t be to adjust the change of China’s import demand in time. This hampers the growth of bilateral agricultural product export.Fifthly, this paper put forward four new mode of cooperation, which named the international farmer’s market and Internet cooperation model and agricultural multinational company and agricultural labor exchanges cooperation mode. We expect to integrate the five Central Asian countries and China agricultural production resources, and enhance the transparency of the agricultural products supply and demand information, and promote the internalization of external trade. It is to improve the competitiveness of agricultural products in each market and promote the development of bilateral trade of agricultural products efficiently and quality. Sixthly, this part is to summary and put forwards some relative suggestions.The innovation point is that:firstly, the bilateral agricultural products have certain competitiveness. They have strong complementarity in the factor endowments and the trade structure, especially in land intensive and complementarity of labor-intensive agricultural products. These laid a solid basis to bilateral agricultural cooperation. Secondly, demand factor is the main factor to promote bilateral agricultural products import and export growth. China and the five central Asian countries should actively adjust the industrial structure and promote the upgrading of industrial structure and give full play to their comparative advantage to improve product competitiveness and promote bilateral agricultural products trade scale. Deficiency is that this article failed to give expression to the related research achievements of the scholars of the five Central Asian countries due to be restricted by mastering language,. |