The Study Of Automobile Manufacture Financial Risk Comprehensive Assessment Under The Supply Chain Environment

With the rapid development of social economic globalization, cooperation opportunities among enterprises increase. Many enterprises get together, becoming a complex structure of "super enterprise" ---supply chain, to better cope with the market competition. Manufacturers are the pillar of the whole national economic system, while the automobile manufacturers occupy the important position in manufacturing industry, especially the automobile vehicle manufacturers which is the core of vehicles manufacturing supply chain, is a powerful engine to promote the economic development of a country. The automotive industry’s healthy development is closely lies to the orderly operation of the whole national economy. In the environment of supply chain, increased complexity and the internal operation dynamic changes both external and outside automobile manufacturers increase interference factors of the enterprise uncertainty. So those factors make automobile manufacturers enjoy the product, technology and management advantages as well as many new risks, and make the original risk form new features. Financial risk is the concrete embodiment of enterprise operation risks in the financial level, which is the fundamental crisis which threatens the sustainable management. In addition, under the supply chain environment, the problems about linkage among the node and risk conduction make the enterprise financial risk develop new connotation and characteristics.Based on the supply chain, the paper constructs a risk assessment model -- financial risk energy analysis model to reflect the enterprise financial risk conduction characteristics, then analysis automobile manufacturer financial risk source and establishes a financial risk index system on the basis of the model. Finally, througth calculating the comprehensive level of financial risk vector loss value to measure the financial risk of automobile manufacturer. The study of financial risk assessment of automobile manufacturers in the perspective of supply chain can not only complement the traditional enterprise financial risk evaluation, but also has important theoretical value and significance of the research on financial risk management of automobile industry.Firstly, this paper collects domestic and foreign research achievements about the enterprise and supply chain financial risk,and defines the concepts of financial risk and financial risk conduction, summarizes the related theory of enterprise financial risk assessment; secondly, based on the energy release theory,this paper analyzes the causes of automobile manufacturers financial risk, and through the comparison on a variety of financial risk evaluation methods to get the superiority of energy analysis model, then improves this model; thirdly, in the energy analysis model framework, constructs automobile manufacturers financial risk flow index system and uses rough set method for index attribute reduction and weight. Finally, through the practical case of application of energy analysis model, this paper evaluates the automobile manufacturer financial risk level. After that, gets the conclusions of the study and points out the defects of the paper and prospects for future research.In order to achieve the objective and accurate financial risk assessment conclusions, this paper uses a variety of research methods, combining qualitative and quantitative, which would provide a theoretical reference to car manufacturers in the process of financial risk management.