Study On Influence Of Farming Costs Change On Fluctuations In The Price Of Raw Milk

Under the background of economic globalization, China’s agriculture is facing with the double squeeze of the ceiling of agricultural products prices and the uplift floor of agricultural products costs, with the double restriction of the red light of resources and the yellow line of agricultural production and price subsidies. Under the double pressure of higher domestic costs of dairy cattle breeding and cheaper foreign milk and dairy products. The farmers’ profit is limited, the ability to resist the market risk is further weakened, accelerating the withdrawal of the dairy farmers, and is not conducive to the healthy development of China’s dairy industry. The cost of dairy farming is an important part of the price of raw milk. The relationship between the price of fresh milk and the cost of dairy farming determines the behavior of the cow breeder’s production. The study of the effect has a good theoretical and practical significance.On the basis of literature research, this paper uses comparative analysis and econometric analysis, talks about the impact of the cost of cow breeding on the fluctuation of fresh milk price, studies on the variation of the breeding cost of dairy cow and its main contribution factors, combined with the fluctuation of fresh milk price, to study the influence of the cost of dairy cattle breeding on the price fluctuation of fresh milk. On this basis, the study makes some relevant suggestions from the cost control perspective to reduce the risk of price fluctuations in raw milk, improve the anti-risk ability of dairy cattle breeders, to improve dairy farming revenue.The main contents of this paper include: firstly, study the changes in the cost of dairy farming, including the basic situation of dairy farming cost, changes in the overall structure, the situation changes in the various cost items, the contribution of the various changes in the cost of the project to change the total cost; secondly, analysis raw milk price fluctuations, mainly analyzes the overall situation of raw milk price fluctuations, fluctuation characteristics, influencing factors and the relationship between the cost of dairy farming and raw milk prices; thirdly, study the impact of the changes in the cost of dairy farming on raw milk price fluctuations, including changes in the cost of raw milk dairy price fluctuations and corn, soybean meal price changes on the price of raw milk; fourthly,based on the empirical results, suggestions how to control the cost of dairy farming.The main conclusions of this study are as follows: dairy farming costs rose mainly due to rising feed costs, that the breed contributed to rising costs of large-scale development to a certain extent; raw milk price is mainly determined by supply and demand, dairy farming costs affects fresh milk price through the impact of fresh milk supply; raw milk prices is mainly determined by the cost of production of raw milk and the previous price level of the last period; fresh milk to reduce price risk, to enhance competitiveness, we should control the dairy farming costs.Innovation of this paper mainly in: Firstly, from the perspective of supply and demand of milk prices in the past, there is no study on the impact of the cost of raw milk dairy price fluctuations separately. In this paper, it talks about the impact of the cost of cow breeding on the fluctuation of fresh milk price,. Secondly, based on the relationship between the cost of dairy farming and fresh milk price, from dairy farmers benefit, from the perspective of cost accounting, grouping management, aquaculture and other cost components to control the dairy farming cost, which changes the past only from beforehand, in the event, afterwards, the dairy farms of specific cost control, more general applicability. the research methods. Thirdly, Using quantitative analysis method to analyze the contribution of the various changes in the cost of the project to change the total cost and the impact of the cost of cow breeding on the fluctuation of fresh milk price, it is no longer a simple comparison and qualitative analysis.