Econometric Analysis On The Impact Of Industrial Structure On Economic Growth In Shanxi Province

At present, economic growths were affected in all areas by the change of industrialstructure, and economic growth and industrial structure influences each other. To a certainstage, the change of industrial structure will be Internals power source for economicsustainable growth. Therefore, study the effect of the change of industrial structure oneconomic growth is particularly important. Based on the research on the relation betweenthe industrial structure change and economic growth at home and abroad on the premise ofclassical theory, adopts quantitative econometric analysis method to study the change ofindustrial structure in Shanxi Province, and the change of industrial structure evolution lawof economic growth, it is suggested to optimize the structure of the second industry inShanxi Province, reduce resource consumption and low efficiency of the industrialstructure, improve the technical level of the first industry, labor force through training, taxand other policies to guide to the third industry, to improve the tertiary industry outputvalue proportion further.This article selects gross domestic product (GDP) as the index of the regionaleconomic growth with three industrial added values and the change of compositioncharacteristic value as the research object, make quantitative analysis on the change ofeconomic growth and of industrial structure in Shanxi Province. The article is divided intofive parts: in the first part, the literature view at home and abroad of the relationshipbetween industrial structure change and economic growth is reviewed. The second part ofthe related theories of industrial structure and economic growth are analyzed; The thirdpart refers the current situation and problems, and analyses the causes of these problems,through statistical data is described in three industries from1984to2012in ShanxiProvince, and principal component analysis method is used to analyze the main influencefactors; through the analysis of the unit root test, VAR model is established. Grangercausality test and variance decomposition analysis of the economic growth and industrialstructure changes in the dynamic changes of the characteristic value of short term and longterm; the fifth part is aimed at changing proportion of economic development andindustrial structure of Shanxi Province process encountered problems, puts forward thereasonable countermeasures and Suggestions.