Historical determinism is the core of Marx’s historical materialism. A correct understanding of Marx’s historicism, is the key to grasp the historical materialism of Marx."determinism",originates in ancient Greek.means Restriction, limited, regulation s, affirms that there are cause-and-effect connections between objects, and the dev-elopment of things is limited by the.inevitability. This meaning is extended to be a theory that affirms there are objective universality, causality, regularity and in evitability in the material world. In other world.historical determinism is refers to the theory that the historical process decided by historical causality, regularity hist orical inevitability.However.sine the date of birth of Marx’s historical determinism, on Marx’s historical determinism attacks can be heard without end,While most of t he attacks are biased, but there are also some worthy of our reflection.This paper take the attack Popper to Marx as the breakthrough point to analyze the Popper’ s critique of Marx historical determinism.The first part of this article analyses the view of the humanism philosophy and positivism philosophy to historical determinism. Humanism see the important role of irrational factors in the social life, excessively emphasis on man’s dynamic role and made it lost its historical restriction, cancel the core position of the historical regularity in the historical research, finally toward voluntarism and historical indeterminism. Positivism studies social and historical phenomenon by using the method of natural science. Although it has a clear definition of laws, but equating the social phenomenon to the natural phenomenon, and canceling the value measure of social historical phenomenon, seeking the pure and abstract rules, and denying the socially historical attribute of regularity and the initiative of human make positivism eventually towards to mechanical historical determinism and history determinism, dooms it unable to reveal the social and historical laws.In the second part of this article. Popper will distort the historical determinism of economy from Marxist historical determinism and make critics. He proposed that it’s not the economy deciding minds, but minds deciding economy and social development. Begin from the basis of that social consciousness decides social existence, he regards scientific knowledge as the decisive factor of social progress. But Popper enhances too much the position of science knowledge in social development.The third part emphasizes the historical determinism and the history of Marx Popper on the opposite is non core problem of historical law. The heterogeneity of Popper from the social phenomenon and natural phenomena as the starting point, derived Marx law of historydenied. In his view, the natural phenomenon is repeated, the social phenomenon is unique’.natural phenomenon is an objective social phenomenon, is man-made, therefore, different natural phenomena in social phenomenon, the natural phenomenon and regularity; only the tendency of social phenomenon. Popper saw the difference between natural and historical process of the relationship, but did not correctly grasp the essence and phenomenon, trend, necessity and contingency.In the fourth part of this paper. Popper further denied the possibility of historical prophecy by denying the law of social history development. In Popper’s view, because there could be no social movement, so people can not predict the future course of human history. He also bluntly said Marx is the prophet of that error. This exposes Popper did not correctly grasp the relationship between history subject and history object, or human activities and the law of history. And he did not understand the revolutionary and practical nature of Marxian historical determinism.In short, Popper"s challenge to Marxian historical determinism is weak and not substantive. History and practice will prove, Marxian historical determinism is a reliable method for the understanding of human history, and the theoretical guide of the transformation of the world. |