| At present, the provincial (city) level of electricity market is the base of power operation of the core level. For a long time, due to the variety of the related factors, the provincial Power Grid Corp marketing analysis and prediction for electric power market is often from a macro perspective of overall development, while the load is in statistical data analysis and forecast of. Along with the progress of economic and social development, market changes more and more complex, the analysis model of the rough has been unable to keep up with changes in the pace of market development, has become one of the problems and the bottleneck of improving the level of marketing Power Grid Corp. How to more scientific understanding and analysis of electric power market, we need to combine the basic rules of modern scientific management theory and method and the market economy, to establish a set of more adapt to the power market of provincial power grid of China analysis and forecast system.This paper analyzes and interprets the comprehensive in Hubei Province, the sale of electricity market. From the macro-industry society (users), through analyzing the three levels with large customers. Electric data with a large number of customers based on the analysis of different types, large groups of customers with division of characteristic factors, development and change of the main effects as well as the combination of factors which affect the classification, further refinement of the electric power market. On this basis, respectively, by means of statistical analysis, comparative analysis, structure analysis, stepwise economic activity analysis method, exponential smoothing, according to the characteristics of power market development in Hubei Province, forecast the electricity consumption of the whole society in2014, and the forecasting result more reasonable, can be used as electric power development in Hubei Province on the basis of scientific decision. |
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