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Study On ANP Method For Major Decision - Making Group Based On Complex System Scientific Thinking

Posted on:2014-10-30Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J JiFull Text:PDF
GTID:2279330431978212Subject:Business management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Decision-making played an extremely important role in enterprise management. In operational research linear decision model is established with the aid of computer technology for the enterprise provides some supporting measures. Modern enterprise facing the complex decision-making environment. However, the current methods and failed to reflect the real decision makers thinking process of nonlinear problems, face the reality of complex problems and situation, enterprise decision-making risk, increased uncertainty. So we need a scientific and effective and comprehensive decision analysis method to help enterprises make rapid objective and accurate choice and seek further development. Therefore, this paper presents a based on perspective of scientific thought for complex systems on decision method of enterprise.On the subject, first of all, hes in complex systems theory, decision theory and decision method on the basis of the literature, summed up the relevant concepts of the perspective of scientific thought for complex systems, provides theoretical basis and research way of thinking for the paper. Second, the enterprise’s important decision problem is divided into two parts:expert selection problem and group decision-making method. To the first question, using fuzzy Delphi method, solve the problem of uncertainty of expert selection, in the form of a fuzzy number computation experts, the integrated evaluation for sorting optimization. For the second question, considering the nonlinear thinking expert decision, put forward improvement of ANP group decision method, use voting to determine the comparative matrix, calculating weights, instead of the traditional ANP two comparative judgment matrix. Finally, in case of the enterprise actual situation, the algorithm and the example verification, Major decisions for the enterprise to provide the new train of thought and method of the analysis and judgment, have very strong maneuverability. AHP as a modern comprehensive evaluation method of multiple attribute decision making problems, put forward has got the extensive concern of academic circles, Applications involving economy, management, military and cultural aspects, ANP in AHP joined the element set on the basis of the internal relationship between elements and the interaction and feedback between, making this method more mature, in the field of scientific decision-making methods study get quite a lot, but any kind of decision methods has its applicability and restriction, can solve the decision making in many complex nonlinear problem, ANP method has inherent defects needs further improvement and perfection.Based on the existing evaluation methods of learning and reference put forward improvement Suggestions, through the instance can verify the improved ANP group decision-making method can realize the organic integration of complexity thinking and non-linear thinking, schemes of work and the results, this paper described methods for the enterprise major decisions have reference value to theory and method.
Keywords/Search Tags:Complex system, ANP, Group decision making
PDF Full Text Request
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