Carbon Reduction Policy Simulation Study Of Electric Power Industry Based On The Model Of LEAP

Energy and climate issues are the two major problems we are facing today.Energy is the basis material for human’s survival.But as the overexploitation and use of energy raises a number of climate and environmental issues,the most obvious problem is greenhouse gas emissions,especially the emission of carbon dioxide.Over the past one hundred mid, global greenhouse gas emissions had grown rapidlly and the average sea level rise of about 19 cm, global temperature increased by about 0.85 degrees, if we still do not implement measures to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases,until 2050 he Arctic will be no ice region.Greenhouse gas emissions are a global problem that requires joint efforts of all countries.China as a responsible country gradually began to assume our responsibility for emission reductions.At present, China has become the largest carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emission country.In China, only the production and supply of electricity emissions CO2 about 37.2% of the total emissions becaused of the fossil fuel consumption.From the perspective of the industry,the power industry has great potential for carbon reduction.This paper firstly we studied the current development and energysaving policy of the power industry, then established the carbon reduction policy simulation model of power industry’s, set the baseline scenario,energy policy scenarios, climate policy scenarios and integrated policy scenario.Where the baseline scenario refers to maintain the existing policy direction and intensity.The energy policy scenario set from three major DSM,coal technologies to improve, clean technology, alternative energy.The climate policy scenarios mainly included the set the greenhouse gas emissions standard and carbon capture and storage technologies.And the integrated policy scenario is a combination of energy efficiency policy scenarios and climate policy scenarios.And 2010 as the base year, used LEAP model predicted the energy consumption and carbon emissions, as well as the contribution rate of emissions of different policy measures from2020 to 2050 in different policy scenarios.The results show that under the comprehensive policy scenario the total energy consumption of electric power industry has significantly decreased, energy consumption structurehas been greatly improved, and the carbon dioxide emissions in the policy scenarios were significantly lower than in the baseline scenario, which greatly promoted the development of energy conservation and get on.In addition,the order of contribution of carbon dioxide emissions is clean energy alternative power generation, coal-fired technology to improve, CCS technology, demand side management and greenhouse gas emission standards. Finally, this paper gives corresponding recommendations for the formulating of power industry carbon reduction policies or laws.