A Study On The Fluctuations Of Live Pigs Price Under The Background Of Farmers Mass Breeding

Pork is the main source of animal food for Chinese. For consumers, pork price is directly related to their daily expenditure. For farmers, pork price affect their incomes levels. However, with the degree’s improvement of mass breeding, pigs price fluctuate seriously. So it is necessary to study the reason of price fluctuations so as to propose some reasonable and feasible suggestions for the government.Firstly, this article analyses the characteristics of the pig-breeding market:low demand elasticity and high supply elasticity in long time; no barriers to entry and exit; farmers as the main breeding subject; farmers mass breeding as the main cultivation mode. Secondly, this article points out the divergent cobwebs and significant seasonal characteristics about the live pigs price. On this basis, the article studies the influence factors of the live pigs price under the background of farmers mass breeding. And study has shown that the farmers expectations and the human resource’s costs impact no remarkable influence on pigs price. At the same time, we found that pigs price is positively correlated with the price of piglets, corn prices, chickens’price, the Consumer Price Index and the Spring Festival. Finally, we investigate the relationship between the fluctuation range of live pigs price and the proportion of farmers mass breeding. The results show that the proportion of farmers mass breeding is one of Granger causes of increasing fluctuation range of live pigs price.In order to stabilize the live pigs price, this paper puts forward some suggestions, for example, advance the agricultural land as soon as possible, strengthen the epidemic prevention, set up barrier for entry and exit, releasing hog futures.