Research On Strategies Of Competition Between Civil Aviation And High Speed Rail Based On Game Theory

In recent years, the construction of domestic high-speed rail (HSR) has boomed. A research oncompetition between civil aviation and high speed rail has been given more widely attention. Thecompetition is influenced by many factors which involve the balance of multi-interests and allocationof resources. Based on transport network and social utility maximization, the competition issuebetween civil aviation and high speed rail is studied with a new game model in this thesis. Amethodology is developed to assess the result of competition taking into account multiple transportoperator types in the domestic mid-to high-end transport market.Firstly, this thesis introduces game theory and discrete choice theory as well as their applicationsand researches on air transportation and competition, moreover, feasibility of game theory and nestedlogit model on air and high-speed rail competition are analyzed. Secondly, a two-stage dynamic gamemodel is developed on the basis of rational hypothesis and simplification. The operators, includinghub-and-spoke airline, regional low-cost airlines and high-speed rail carriers, maximize best responsefunctions via prices, frequency and train/plane size. Thirdly, different from previous studies, thisresearch emphasizes the pivotal role played by government in competition, in addition, consumersurplus and environmental costs are introduced. Optional strategy set of carriers is a combination ofvariety of influencing factors, so the calculation of total social utility could be defined from the issuesmentioned above. At last, this two-stage dynamic game model is applied to mid-to high-endtransportation market of15domestic cities. Nash equilibriums in different scenarios are solved usingheuristic algorithm, furthermore, proposal for different players are raised based on competitionresults.