The Position And Function Of Social Prediction In The Historical Development

Historical materialism is the core part of the philosophy of Marxism, and the thinkingabout the law of history is the most important part. Because the law of history is regardedas the cornerstone of Marxism and historical materialism on theory, Marxist philosophicalview of history is built on top of the objective laws of historical development; reality, thelaw of history is not only a moment theory of reality based on the existence of the socialistregime, it is but also the basic of our understanding of history, prediction the future andchanges the world precondition. Social prediction based on the understanding of the lawsof history is a uniquely human reality activities, to figure out what philosophical sense ofsuch activities, and what position they occupy in the process of historical development,and what role they would play having considerable Significance. The core of the articleis the argument from logical thinking on social prediction as a unique reality itself will beable to explain this legitimacy and rationality of the law of history, and analysis of theposition and role in the historical process of social prediction.The first part of the article focuses on the logic of social prediction undergone thetest of practice and its theory of a foothold, and pointed out that human practice itself willbe able to prove the reality of social prediction, that is, the presence of social prediction.Then combined with human thinking features and beyond nature to demonstrate socialprediction possibility to analyze the premise of the theory of social prediction, which alsois the theoretical premise of this article. In the second part of this paper is the position ofthe society predicted in the laws of history, analysis and demonstrate the relationshipbetween the dialectical unity of social prediction and the laws of history. Among them, thelaw of history is the theoretical basis of social prediction, social prediction above aprofound understanding of the laws of history, the reality of activities of the laws of history,but also has indirect proof of the legitimacy and rationality. Philosophical schools ofinternational opposition to the laws of history, especially the in-depth interpretation andcritique of Popper’s "poverty of historical determinism". In the third part, the discussionand analysis may affect the historical development of social prediction. First of all,in-depth analysis of the "Oedipus effect" on the level of philosophical logic, discusses thesocial prediction on the possible impact of the laws of history. In addition, how to look atthe function in the historical development of the subjective will of the people, but alsobecome a modern philosophical studies, and also the Marxist historical materialism can notbe avoided. This paper starting from the initiative of the people themselves to one aspect ofthe subjective, that the predicted characteristics of the person to elaborate on the will of the people relying on the historical development, explore why the subjectivity historicalactivities formed the objectivity laws of history, as well as the class characteristics of thehuman impact on the historical development.