Agriculture Pricc Fiuctualion Analysis Of Iiitluence Factors And Countermeasures

In recent years, our country agricultural product price has largefluctuation. Agricultural products price fluctuation,has a very adverseeffects to the normal agricultural production, residents life and thegeneral price level of China’s macroeconomic. According to the situation,this paper studies by establishing econometric model and in the modelinto currency fluctuations factors. This paper use single whole test,cointegration test, granger causality test. And the analysis found that M2is the granger reason of our country agricultural product price change. Forthe empirical results this paper makes a theoretical analysis, this thesispoints out that, from1978since the collapse of the bretton woods system,the dollar is no longer with gold for anchor, the global exchange rate alsois the free floating era, currencies shares by the growth of precious metalsis not rigid limitation, but according to the needs of the domesticregulation economy, which appeared money supply fluctuations, andprofound influence on the stability of the global price system, and theinternational financial market in recent decades have also made very rapid development, international hot money leading commodity globalpricing. Therefore, the current in the global scope monetary and financialfactors on market price especially commodity price formation andfluctuation is playing a more and more significant effect. And, in view ofthe thesis empirical analysis results, this paper put forward in the last partmonetary financial means to solve. Among them, the main shouldvigorously develop financial capital market, especially the domesticfutures market.