Hcbei Province Population On The Influence Of Energy Demand And Forecast

In recent years, the growth rate of energy consumption in China is very fast,especially like coal, petroleum, natural gas, these non-renewable resources, theexploitation and utilization of human, it is not possible at this stage ofregeneration, for these are not renewable energy, using means less, with theincrease in population, and not on the development and utilization of renewableenergy, the final will be relatively reduced resulting in energy, and can notmaintain the original reserves or regeneration. To reduce the number of energyconsumption energy caused by the growing pressure to people not renewable,forcing China to adopt policies to enhance the efficiency of energy use andreduce energy use. Now mankind is facing the problem of lack of energy,energy consumption and economic sustainable development is our currentchallenges, is an important issue of concern. China is the world’s most populouscountry, which determines that China will also be a big future energyconsumption, China’s energy consumption has not got rid of the traditionalindustrial unsustainable model. Since the industrial revolution200years reviewof path of developed countries to achieve industrialization, it is not difficult to find, they passed through a traditional industrialization road. The traditional pathof industrialization is the economic growth with high investment, high energyconsumption, serious environmental damage, so not to more than40countries15%of the UK, Germany, the United States of America in the global numberhas completed the industrialization, the world energy reserves have also beenserious consumption and waste. According to the survey, these developedcountries consume the world proven70%of energy in the process ofindustrialization. China as a developing country, China is at a stage of socialistconstruction, faced with limited energy, China in an effort to explore areasonable utilization of energy of the industrialization road of Chinesecharacteristic socialism. From a historical point of view, China is still a countrydominated by energy and material consumption, China is still the traditionalpath of industrialization of scientific and technological progress is relatively low,the contribution of the quality of workers and management factors on the rate ofeconomic. The energy is consumed at the same time, the population continued toincrease, in the face of all the land, limited resources and increasing populationcaused by the growing human needs, population trends, changes in energy demand and the population prediction and assessment of population movementsaffect the demand for energy is very important.The Party Central Committee industrialization road of China’s twoCongress made elaborate system. Among them, sixteen big reports pointed out:"the realization of industrialization remains an arduous historical task in theprocess of modernization in china. Insist on using informationization to promoteindustrialization, promote the informationization with industrialization, out of ahigh technological content, good economic returns, low energy consumption,less environmental pollution, human resource advantages into full play." Thereport also pointed out that:" to adhere to the new path of industrialization withChinese characteristics, adhere to by rely mainly on increasing consumption ofmaterial resources to rely mainly on scientific and technological progress,improve the quality of workers, management innovation." The two Congressclearly stressed that the future should take a new road to industrialization.Comrade Hu Jintao pointed out that " in the eighteen report to promote theproduction and consumption of energy revolution, to control the total amount ofenergy consumption, strengthen energy conservation, support for energy-saving low carbon industry and new energy, renewable energy development, to ensurenational energy security." Therefore, China attaches great importance toconservation and use of non-renewable energy.Based on Chinese natural conditions, discusses the general energy situationin China and the United States, Japan and other developed countries and do acomparison, by taking Hebei Province as an example, the establishment ofLogistic model, mathematical model, estimation and prediction of the number ofthe population of Hebei Province, Hebei province and to establish therelationship between population and the total energy of the model, to predict thefuture consumption of energy in our province, our province for the rational useof energy, improve energy efficiency, provide a basis for formulating relevantpolicies.