Risk Evaluation Of Real Estate Development Project And Its Application

With the development of national economy, real estate has become a pillar industry of the national economy, having great influence of policy, capital demand is big, long construction period, many uncertain factors characteristics, so there is a lot of risk.At present, the real estate risk assessment research is still in the development stage, especially the risk index and risk evaluation method design design.In order to realize the sustained and healthy development of real estate, it is necessary to study and build a set of comprehensive, system theory and method to promote real estate enterprises in risk identification and evaluation.The paper comprehensively summarizes the domestic and foreign project on the basis of the literature, to real estate investment decision stage of preparation, project implementation, project rental stage risk effectively depict, on this basis, to extract the real estate risk evaluation index system, and carries on the effective interpretation.The paper also applies the analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for project risk effectively assess, gives the specific steps and methods.Finally, the proposed method is applied to the ink chamber Portland project risk assessment, the risk results are analyzed, and the corresponding countermeasures were put forward.The main contribution of this paper lies in:1, The investment decision of real estate project, preparation, project construction and project rental stage risk effectively portray, suggests a possible risk factors.2, The use of AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to risk assessment, and evaluation result is good application value, can guide the practice.