Study On Traffic Demand Forecasting Of City Complex Building Project

Urban complex construction project is large in the construction and thecharacteristics of land use intensity is high, and internal functions, thesecharacteristics must be on the construction project of the surrounding area of trafficdemand, and the traffic demand forecasting is the traffic impact assessment is animportant part of,can accurate of urban complex construction project traffic impactassessment, traffic demand forecast this process plays a decisive role.Urban complex traffic demand forecast is in the investigation of the trafficsituation on the basis of, accurately predict the future planning transportationtravel,for the operation management of urban complex construction projectdecision-making and provide the basis for subsequent projects. Differentcharacteristics of different prediction methods, scope of each are not identical.Nomatter what the traffic demand forecasting methods are obvious deficiencies thatexist certain differences between traffic demand and prediction.Based on the urbancomplex construction project as the research object, through the analysis of its owncharacteristics and traffic characteristics, suitable for urban complex traffic demandforecasting method to research.This article first to the urban context of emergence, concept, classification,functions and features, detailed analysis, then on urban traffic demand analysis ofcomplex construction project, master the complex urban transportation demandcharacteristics and passenger travel characteristics, and expounds the relationshipbetween the urban complex and public transport; Combined with China’s currentnational conditions, Of urban complex construction project traffic volume predictionmethod to explore. First of all, based on the urban complex construction projecttraffic traffic flow prediction model and the process is determined, and on this basis,study; Scope of traffic volume forecast model, is proposed based on theequilibrium principle to determine the scope of model; Study on urban complexproject traffic generation forecast, puts forward the traffic generation forecast modelbased on function analysis; Based on the direction distribution method,the trafficdistribution and traffic assignment are combined, is put forward based on thedirection of the distribution of DA combination forecast method, and puts forwardthe calculating process of traffic distribution and traffic assignment step; Finally,changchun ji shengwei bang city complex construction project as an example, usingthe proposed urban complex construction project traffic demand forecasting method,respectively, for traffic generation and transportation, traffic distribution and trafficassignment forecast, through the empirical analysis shows that the proposed trafficvolume prediction method is feasible.