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The Statistical Of The Dynamic Between Chanese Famers' Income And Econmic Growth

Posted on:2012-04-06Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:C Y WangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2217330371456349Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Since 1978-2008, 30 years, China's GDP to maintain long-term rapid development of the national per capita economic level was significantly increased. Gross domestic product in 2008 reached 31.4045 trillion yuan, of which between 1978 -1987, GDP average annual growth rate is 5.99%, rural per capita net income of the average annual growth rate of 16.78%; between1988-1997,GDP average annual growth rate of 8.7%, rural per capita net income was 19.63%; ,between1998 -2009 , GDP annual average growth rate of 9.5%, rural per capita net income of the average annual growth rate was 7.91%, shows the stage of GDP since the reform and opening up of the growth rate is fast, the stage of farmers per capita net income growth is not faster than GDP growth, in particular, there is a downward trend over the past decade. In 2009, the central role of macro-control policies, macroeconomic maintain rapid, stable development momentum, GDP reached 33.5353 trillion yuan total, maintaining a 9.5% sequential growth.Meanwhile, we should see the operation of macro-control the economy unhealthy and unstable factors are effectively controlled, in a relatively short period of time there have been positive results, but nearly a decade, the macroeconomic problems arising in the performance of more and more prominent, and has not been effective, the fundamental solution is the economic growth of agricultural production and rural incomes in the coordination of issues that must be addressed.Therefore, this paper on the status of Chinese farmers income and influence factors of farmers income growth, income growth of farmers in China to explore economic growth and long-term and short-term dynamic relationship of the role of the interaction between them and the second law of the reasons are not synchronized, and strive to achieve economic growth and Income Dynamics of coordination in the development of exploration to the development of new agricultural economy and increase their income means purpose; the same time, income growth for farmers in China and economic growth research the relationship between the provision of new research ideas and empiri-cal analysis of the relative specific conclusion. After the analysis, the conclusion that economic development and the growth rate of income of the farmers can not do without, and in the long term is to coordinate the development, economic growth in the short term growth of income of the farmers role in boostingbothhavepositive? reversethestimulating effect, but from the variance decomposi-tion and impulse response function analysis, is often a positive role in stimulating the role of time in reverse slowly after an increase of income of the farmers work, therefore, proposed to increase the income of farmers?question, the best long-term perspective and from the mutual development of both the role of short-term perspective of the development of relevant policy rules.
Keywords/Search Tags:famers'income, GDP, Grey relational analysis, variance decomposition, Cointegration Analysis
PDF Full Text Request
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