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Analysis Of An Age-structured Epidemic Model With Latent Period

Posted on:2013-01-27Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:D M ChenFull Text:PDF
GTID:2210330374466876Subject:Basic mathematics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The health of human are threatened by infectious diseases which also bring a greatlosses to social economy. Therefore, there is of great importance to study epidemic mod-els. An age-structured epidemic model with latent period is considered in this paper whichconsists of the following two parts:In the second chapter, a SEIS epidemic model with age of infection is considered. Thebasic reproductive number R0is established for the model by using the theory of difer-ential and integral equations. It is proved that the disease free equilibruim is globallyasymptotically stable if R0<1. The disease free equilibruim is unstable if R0>1whenthe endemic equilibruim is locally asymptotically stable.In the third chapter, an age-structured MSEIS model is considered, in which a certainpercentage of susceptibles could enter the infectious class without experiencing the latentperiod. By using the theory of diferential and integral equations, the explicit expressionof the basic reproductive number R0was obtained. It is proved that the disease freeequilibruim is globally asymptotically stable if R0<1. The disease free equilibruim isunstable if R0>1, and there at least exist one endemic equilibruim which can be provedthat it is locally asymptotically stable under centain conditions.
Keywords/Search Tags:Latent period, Epidemic model, Basic reproductive number, Equilibrium, Stability
PDF Full Text Request
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