Population Migration To The Urban Local Employment

Since the implementation of the reform and opening up policy in China, the population migration occur new characters. Migrants of the new era have a clear impact on China's economic and social development and are causing more and more concern. Impact of migrants on the destination is an important content of migration studies, and the effect on native employment is an important aspect. With regard to this field, domestic research is obviously absent of enough empirical research, and the majority of research is based on qualitative reasoning, lacking empirical proof. Even if there are a small number of empirical studies, data used for the analysis is small-scale social survey data or data of a special city, no studying from Macro-scope. So our purpose of the current research is to fill the gap, using econometric methods to analyze the impact of migrants on native employment.The paper has both theoretical analysis and empirical research. In theory, using neo-classical economic model to analyze the effect of migrants on the local labor market, and discussing possible results with the actual migration of our country. This part builds the paper's theoretical basis. In empirical research, using census data, we give an overview of China's migration and compare characteristics distributions of migrants and natives, and then we implement systematic analysis of impact of migrants on native employment and draw meaningful conclusions. The paper is made up of six chapters, and the main content of each chapter is as follows:Chapter 1 introduces the research background and research significance, and reviews briefly the literatures on the impact of migration on natives, introducing the paper's research system and methods. Chapter 2 discusses economic theory regarding the effects of migration on economic outcomes. Chapter 3 reviews briefly China's population migration, including population migration history, migrants'space distribution, causes of migration and overview of migrants'characters, building basis of the following empirical analysis. Chapter 4 provides a comparison of character distributions of migrants and natives, including gender, age, education, occupation and industry, and focuses on analyzing the industry displacement. The research findings show that there is some displacement out of migrant-intensive industries. Chapter 5 analyzes the correlation of population migration and native employment and build logistic regression model to examine the impact of population migration on native employment. Empirical results show that there is little relation between migration and native employment, and migrant native ratio is not significant negative influencing factor. Chapter 6 concludes main findings of the paper, gives some related advices, and finally sums up the innovation and inadequacies of the paper, introducing the direction of further research.The conclusion we have made based on the empirical analysis is innovative forecast and an exploitive job. Limited by my own knowledge and horizon, some deductions still need future research and amendment.