| To study our country's investment securities prediction, can not only make investor get the largest income under normal risk or the minimum risk under being the largest benifit, but also to plays an important role in studying the forming mechanism of security price , appraising the security market efficiency and supervising effectively to implement to security market correctly. This paper regards security market of our country as the target, is based on historical data of security market of our country, regards raising the securities investment return of our country as object, find out or approach of our country securities inherent mechanism factor and outside that market price operate not to influence the terms from price , income respect, raise investment securities of our country predict competence of analysing. This plays an very important theory and pactice role in improving the investment securities prediction level.The main tasks of this paper are as follows:1. Applying the graph conformation and nomal technique table to analyze the predict method, especially using the mode recogniseing theory to change time sequence to average conformation sequence; using statistics method to measure the success rate of conformation combination. The aim is to overcome the shortcomings of the traditional analysis method and improving the analisis efficiency.2. Using the method of system theory to study the plate phenomina of our country's stock. The conclusion is that the stock price's change direction issame as the money requirement. The stock data and money is changed in the same direction. The Shenzhen stock and money's change is not the same direction.3. Applying the method of data dig to study our country's stock is one of the main directions of stock prediction analysis. So, this paper presents and describes the intelligent investment expert system. This can sovle the determination of stock trend and is advanced and practica bility.4. The combination model prediction method is studied in this paper. The method of Applying the state model is better than singal model in describing the movement of stock. The examples proved its sufficienty.This paper gives the conclusion at last and describes the shortcomings and prospect. |
