Beijing Cycle In Real Estate Research

The development of economic drive or produce the space requirements of resident commerce and service facility etc, so bring the market of real estate spring up. Therefore, from essence, the development of real estate is decided by macro-economy development. Seeing from a longer historical period, the economic development shows like periodic revolve. Correspondingly, the development of real estate also has the character periodic circulating fluctuation. This paper hope using statistical method analyses the regional market of real estate, seek the law and feature of its period fluctuation, can play the part of reference role for measure the development of region real estate and the development of national economy. At the same time it may provide the basis of the macro-control policy of fluctuation.This paper first explain the concept and theory, qualitative analysis the features of each fluctuate stage and influencing factors of real estate. Establishing an index system, then use Diffusion Index and Composite Index, quantitative analysis the situation of Beijing real estate period since 1990. Investment is the most important factor of the Beijing period fluctuation of real estate, and then put forward the measure of control fluctuation.