The Forecast, Based On Business Indicators Of The Sulfuric Acid Product To Market Changes

It is a vital task for an enterprise to make an annual operational plan. And the index is the center of the plan. We must make sure that the plan must be accurate and considerate and operable in order guarantee its guidance. Or else it couldn't work well. Now due the past planned economy, an enterprise made the plan by more sense than research and careful study. The author takes Wylton as an example and analyze the factors and background that affect the making of the operational plan, applying some predicting methods and work out the index of Wylton from 2007 to 2009.The author dissertates the viewpoint from seven aspects. First chapter discusses how the issue comes out, the relationship between production patern and market, the background and the purpose. The second chapter tells the concept and often-used methods of prediction. The third one looks back upon the annual macro-situation of phosphte fertilizer and sulphuric acid sector during 2003—2006 period with 2006 as the key so as to master the past, look to future based on facts, forming the basis for the latter chapters. The fourth analyzes briefly the sulphuric acid supply and outlook of Hongfu for the micro-aspect. Fifth chapter tells the characteristic of Wylton plan and process, addressing the what real index Wylton actually realized during 2004—2006. The sixth chapter predicts the macro & micro-situation, Hongfu sulphuric acid shortage for following 2007-2009 period using quantitative and qualitative way with the matter as fact. The seventh chapter forcast what index Wylton could probably get during the years of 2007—2009, including the output, cost, sales and profit, applying the trending, weighing and simple average predicting method. The last chapter makes the conclusion for the dissertation, emphasizing two viewpoints and notices.The innovation in the paper lies in that the author analysizing and predicting the operational index, combining the specific enviroment, with facts as basis, data as support, applying several prediction methods, Excel and model. Then overcoming the blindness and unilateralism, reciting the importance of macro & micro market when working on the index.