The Format Criterion Of Master's Degree Paper Of DMU

The port as for the basic industry of national economy,is the significant connection to hold the social reproduction together. It impacts on the foreign trade in a great extent. The investment of the port has sharp-cut industry characteristics. Its invest is in large scale with hundreds of billions. The huge risk of the ports'investment could be divided into the general risk and the hidden risk. The general risk could be given the early warning in the ports'strategic investment decision. But the similar investment in our country faces the serious challenge going with the complicated situation abroad. Especially, these hidden risks long-term exist in the ports'investment process. The long-term nature of these crises decide to take the sustainable development way to spread the risks among. And integrate the whole system, to seek China's rapid and and lasting development of the port.This paper first analyzes the general port investment risk, pulling into Monto Carlo mathematical model to make quantitative analysis and countermeasure selection. Then, on this basis, the paper gives the analysis of the overall situation of China ports and proposes some-related thinking:investigating the relevance between the port investment risk and the sustainable development from the observation angle of Flows\Cllection & Distribution System\Relevant national policies. And then, the author utilizes the Loop Flexible Economic Theory to analyze the structure\trend\the need for the ports' sustainable development. This paper also fetches the System Dynamics application into the ports'investment research with finding a coordinated way to balance the ports' development to aviod the investment risks and proposes the strategies about how.to diversify these hidden risks by the path of sustainable development. Finally, from all above, the paper demonstrates the need for following the sustainable development way and raises the issues about how to increase the ports'sustainable developped capacity.As the huge investment required for the port construction with long period and very large sunk costs and also the existence of the port facilities "for its intended purpose" of the rigidity, it makes the ports'entering and exitting market prices very high. Therefore, making analysis in the planning and earily construction of the ports on the existence of over-investment trend is instructive not only in avioding over-investment before the ports'constuction planning has worked over but also in giving the early warning in a timely manner about the excessive trend of the port construction project to take a appropriate measure to resolve the problems. The author also give the advise in this paper for whether or not should we invest more and how to reasonable control the investment pace and how to maintain a sustained and stable development after our investment. The paper also address the issue about how to open up a sustainable development road with China charicteristics for a special set.