Analysis On The Social Benefits Of Cropland Conversion Into Forest Project In Hebei Province

Cropland Conversion into Forest Project (CCFP) is not only one of the major six projects which promote the development of China's forestry in new century quickly, but also one of the ten major ecological projects in the world. It plays an important role in ecological construction both in China and all over the world. CCFP is one of the ecological projects which have large scale investment,wide covering,and complex process in China. The efficiency of CCFP is in focus and paid attention by the entire society. So it is necessary to evaluate the quality and efficiency of CCFP construction project.Based on the analysis of the evaluation system and research status of the benefit of forestry project domestic and abroad, CCFP situation of Hebei province is regarded as the research object in this paper. We used the method combining theoretical analysis with data statistics to systematically study the present situation and predict some index, including employment structure, grain yield, and income. Then VARMA method was used to forecast and analyzed social benefits.The results show that:(1) The rural labor occupation structure produces a great change by CCFP. Population transported from agriculture to non-agricultural (industrial, construction, transportation, wholesale and retail trade) increases gradually, among which, the proportion of employees in construction industry have more obvious upward trend. With years of returning farmland to forests increase, the trend has become increasingly evident.(2) The implementation of CCFP will have impact on local food production. After CCFP, the cultivation area decreased, which led to the reduction of total grain output, but the basic farmland remain, returning families will invest capital used to spend on agricultural fields in purchasing pesticides, fertilizers, farm tools and other means of production, strengthening of basic farmland and water conservancy facilities, the labor per unit area, fertility, increased investment in science and technology, to improve the quality of the arable land, resulting in improved grain yield and the total production output.(3) After CCFP in Hebei Province, income of farmers whose land has been reclaimed, as well as consumption of household have a big impact. Farmers whose land has been reclaimed increase their income, and families' economic situations are improved, some farmers raise the standard of living. Other aspects of living and spending (mainly clothing, housing and daily necessities, etc.) have improved with different degrees.(4) According to predicting the social benefit , the results show that, with years of returning farmland to forests increasing, of social benefits of farmland areas will be more and more obvious. After returning farmland to forests, local food production is not affected, and the policy of returning farmland to forest growing more and more scientific and rationale, and the impact on food security issues is getting smaller and smaller. As years of Returning farmland to forests increase and the system and policies become perfect, people income growth in farmland area is also more outstanding.In this paper, benefit analysis with regard to returning farmland to forest is studied, which provide a scientific and objective analysis of the objectives and methodology, the results can supervise future decision-making on the project of returning farmland to forest, and the implementation of the project of returning farmland to forest, which shows an important theoretical value and practical significance.