Study On The Technology Forecasting Models

Technology forecast was given birth with the development of science.Technology forecast is an explore process to make science development policy proposal,which is of great importance.Related patent information data is usually used to do technology forecast.The domestic and foreign relevant literatures are summarized,analyzed and reviewed in this paper.Through comparison analysis of living example,three kinds of econometrics forecast models are experimental researched based on the real data.It is explicitly proposed that the result from the technology forecast model based on panel data is the most close to the real data.Results indicate that the technology forecast model based on panel data is more accurate.