A Study On Improve Early Warning Systems For The Unemployment In Qingdao

Unemployment is an inevitable economic and social phenomenon in the market economy. If the number of the unemployed too many or rate of the unemployment too high in a country,it is not only pose a significant threat to the unemployed and their families,but also bring great blow to the economic development and social stability。So,we must take some measures to control the excessive growth of the number of unemployed persons and the sharp rise in the unemployment rate.Control the unemployment is a complex systems,we must strengthen the analysis and monitoring work of unemployment, set up the early warning system of unemployment. The early warning of unemployment is a pre-conditioning, it can grasp the changing situation of unemployment timely and accurately, achieve dynamic balance of supply and demand of labor, form of early warning system of unemployment,so it is the key to enhance macro-control capability on the labor market to solve the unemployment problem.Early warning system of unemployment include: the warning level of unemployment, early warning signal systems of unemployment, contingency plans for the unemployed and the committee of Experts. Among them, the warning level of the unemployed are the core and difficult point in the unemployed Control System, The warning level of unemployment reasonable or not directly determines the effective of the early warning system of unemployment; The early warning signal system of unemployment is based on the level of unemployment cordon, in different "light zone" has the appropriate contingency plans for the unemployed; it is the Committee of Experts on the unemployment situation that analysis of long-term monitoring, early warning information and policy recommendations.The early warning system of unemployment could control the risk at the degree,this is the theoretical basis of support the employment policy,and it is the connection point to realize the high economic growth and low rate of the unemployment。Unfortunately, Qingdao lack of a sound early warning system of unemployed currently, and the construction of the existing have some problems. Under such circumstances,it is necessary to build the early warning system of unemployment in qingdao,monitoring the changes in unemployment timelforecasting the development trend of unemployment and To avoid the unemployment crisis.This paper is to further construction the early warning system of unemployment in Qingdao through study the research experience both at home and abroad ,to avoid the adverse impact on the socio-economic development and social stability and to play a supporting role on the severe employment situation under the current global financial crisis, China's unemployment rate has been going up slightly, unemployment remains high, while the early warning system of unemployment in Qingdao is not so perfect.Thesis pointed out that to strengthen the early warning system of unemployment in Qingdao are as follows:(1) Identify the warning level of unemployment Scientifically;(2) Improve the signal system;(3) Designed the Emergency Preparedness of unemployment systematically;(4) Set up the committee of Experts of early warning of unemployment as soon as possible;(5) Redefinition of the statistics standard of unemployment ;(6) Determine the institutions and procedures who collect the data and other supporting measures.