Study On Trend And Interaction Between Secondary And Tertiary Industry In Guangdong And Suggestions

Guangdong is that countrywide big provinces of industry, secondary industry always hold a leading post for many years in the gross national product. With development of industrialization, the development speed of tertiary industry will exceed secondary industry gradually. However it isn't a process in which industry grow slower and service industry grow faster purely, or reduce the investment to secondary industry and increase tertiary industry purely. Domestic and foreign scholars have done a lot of research, the promotion of universal view that the industrial structure is an important factor in economic growth, and economic growth leading to corresponding changes in the industrial structure. So researching on the interactive relationship between Guangdong secondary and tertiary industries and t the development trends will have important practical significance on optimization of the industrial structure of Guangdong and achieving sustainable economic developmentThis paper includ research of the static of the industrial structure of the current, and also includes the research of dynamic structure of the industry and trends. Firstly,introduct the status and characteristics.of the development of industrial structure in Guangdong.On this basis, use the 2004 Guangdong input-output tables to make interactive analysis of economical technology ties and Spread effects between secondary and tertiary industry in Guangdong, reveal the status and role of secondary and tertiary industry and other internal industry in economic system,from that to make a reasonable structure proportion.Secondly,try to make prediction model for Guangdong's macroeconomic, through using the data from .At last, explore the development direction of the secondary and tertiary industries,and propose to strengthen the synergy between secondary and tertiary industry...