The Application Of Monte Carlo Simulation Model For Schedule Of TD-SCDMA Data Networkmanagement Project

With the development of communication and the intensifying competition among its operators, the construction of communication facilities becomes very crucial and important. So the sound arrangement of Project Schedule and the optimization of project to complete the project on schedule have been the most important goal for Project Manager. And Project-Schedule Management becomes more and more important.Firstly, the basic conception of PM and Project-Schedule Management, the importance of Project-Schedule Management, and the development and application of some Project-Schedule evaluation tools, especially the theory and method of Monte Carlo simulation model are described in the dissertation. Then the advantages and disadvantages of CPM, PERT and Monte Carlo simulation model are analyzed. Finally, The CRYSTAL BALL software is utilized to establish the Monte Carlo simulation model simulation of TD-S CDMA Project, forecast and optimize the project. The method for establishing the modeling, simulation, analysis and optimization by CRYSTAL BALL software can make the complicated quantitative analysis of Project-Schedule plan evaluation easier, and the result more reliable.Application research reveal that Monte Carlo simulation founded by CRYSTAL BALL software can provide a flexible and efficient modeling instrument to evaluate, analyze, and optimize the project-schedule.