| Being the subsystem of the giant system of society, energy is closely related to all other subsystems, such as economics, environment, and ecosystem. With constant expanding of the economic scale of China, it gets more and more concern whether the future energy industry can support the speeding development of China's economy. Over the years, manufacturing has been an important pillar in the growth of China's economic. In recent years, manufacturing contribute to 40% of GDP in China, and 50% of revenue come from manufacturing. At the same time, the gross of energy consume in manufacturing is very big. According to the related data, from 1998 to 2002, the gross of energy consumption in manufacturing take up 54% of total energy consumption in China. Therefore, a comprehensive evaluation of energy consumption in manufacturing, and educing strategy of energy development has important practical significance.This paper firstly analyses the status of energy consumption in manufacturing from different aspects, and give influencing factors in evaluating energy consumption from energy economics aspect. Secondly, the paper analyses the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, energy saving, point out the important types of energy in manufacturing. From the industry of manufacturing, using Principal components analysis and Cluster analysis method, it analysis the structure of energy consumption. Thirdly, according to the characteristics of energy consumption and related influencing factory, the paper established a model that forecast the amount of energy consumption in manufacturing, then test the model from the demonstration aspect; Finally, the paper give an advice that how to develop the energy in manufacturing from the aspects of energy supply, energy consumption and energy security. The production of this study provides important references criterion, the criterion is very helpful to establishing strategy of energy for government and related parts. |
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