| With the development of global economic, industrialization is deeper and deeper. It causes a series of problems of environment. The over-emissions of carbon dioxide have caused rises of temperature all over the world. To stop environment from further worsening, many countries have formulated some policies such as"Kyoto Protocol". These policies mostly stipulate that developed countries should undertake the major responsibility of carbon emission reduction and developing countries are not forced to undertake any responsibility. Since carbon emission reduction will influence a country's industry and do harm to its international trade,developed countries, especially America, represents the carbon tariff in order to protect its international trade. This paper tries to analyze that once America start to levy carbon tariff, the attitude China should show. This paper also analyzes the influence of carbon tariff to China's carbon products export and gives some advice.Through introducing Evolutionary Game Theory, this paper draws the conclusion that the best result is that China should accept carbon tariff. Transaction cost theory in international trade is used to prove that carbon tariff is harmful to the countries that are charged. The writer of this paper collects the data of China's iron export to America and estimates the linear relation of number and price. It draws a conclusion that in the rate of 30$/ton, the number of iron export will reduce 22.51%, and in the rate of 60$/ton, the reduction will rise to 41.99%.This paper primarily represents three suggests. First, the developing countries, especially China, should play a more important role in formulation of carbon tariff. The second is that China should increase domestic demand to reduce the ratio of dependence on foreign trade so as to reduce the influence of carbon tariff. The last, China should strengthens the scientific innovation and optimize the industrial structure and develop low-carbon industry in domestic. |