Study On Influence Factors And Damand Forecasting Of Domestic Furniture Market

With the continuous development of reform and opening up,domestic furniture manufacturing industries gradually becomes the rising industry in light industry in recent years.With subprime crisis in the United States influence global finance more and more seriously,many domestic furniture manufacturing industries make the market modification of domestic sales of commodities orginally produced for exports,chinese furniture manufacturing industries are facing the next development opportunity from "made in china"to"China design" market demand analysis of domestic furniture is step one,it prompt that accurately command market demands condition of domestic furniture becames the first condition of furniture manufacturing industries make strategies development planning.The article first analyse domestic furniture market supply present situation from types,hierarchy,existence question and other aspect of domestic furniture market supply and demand, analytic result present private enterprise take the leading role in domestic furniture manufacturing industries supply types,mainly concentrate at southern region and eastern region,helvetia furniture market demands as the major demand types,large enterprises are the predominant supply level,medium and small sized enterprises as main body.middle-brow furnitures are main demand level;Using net questinnaire and analytic hierarchy process to weighted order macroenvironment and microenvironment's factors of affect domestic furniture market demands,define main influence factors are population size factor,gross national products factor,furniture manufacturing industries factor,consumer market factor;Then use correlational analysis method to further confirm influencing factors,consider last three factors and domestic furniture market demands have higher related degree;Using time series analysis method to analyse variation trend of all furniture manufacturing industries gross output and take forecasting and modeling system,and use MATLAB soft to operate,realize that use gross output of past three years to forecast gross output of the next year.