Since 1990, the port guest roll conveyance has developed vigorously, the carrying capacity of guest roll conveyance increases significantly year after year, the economic performance also increases year after year, the port guest roll conveyance seems to have the investment value more and more. Along with the expands of guest roll conveyance and the fury in the market competition more and more, its hardware environment (i.e., the berth and the ship's amount) is shortage; its software environment, such as the management, operate etc., also cannot keep up with the situation more and more. This will request the port guest roll conveyance must head for the market completely. handling affairs with the modern economic law and the market regulation, Firstly, we must expand the market and increase the service quantity, on the other hand, according to the development trends of the market, we should do the right forecast to the carrying capacity of guest roll conveyance, establish the layout project and the development countermeasure.According to the port development programming theories, and on the basis of summarize the development present condition of Dalian port the guest roll the industry, This text analyzed the guest roll conveyance, the rolling shipment flows and the ship type, completed a development forecast for the transport throughput of Dalian port guest roll conveyance and thearrived harbor ship type, marked out the layout for the guest roll conveyance of Dalian port's Dalian harbor, and researched something on its econmic evaluation and the development strategy counterplan in the further. Finally, in the ends words, aimming to the influence to the guest roll conveyance of Dalian port after the superhighway between Shenyang and Dalian occluded, I discussed the reply measure. So I provide a worthy consulting for the Dalian port rolling industry 's construct and development. In this paper, According to the system theories, the programming theories and the predict theories, I adopt the method that the model analysis combined with the calculation, from which I realized the synthesize application about the theory analysis with data analysis. |